INFER Public

In 2022, will the Shanghai Micro Electronics Equipment Co. list a new lithography machine as an available product on its website?

Question Ends:
Nov 01, 2022 04:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 30, 2022 05:16PM UTC
(2 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes		Answer was incorrect

Of the following companies, which will start volume production on a 3nm chip or smaller before 17 September 2023?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast

Question Ends:
Sep 17, 2023 04:00AM UTC
(8 months ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 30, 2022 05:19PM UTC
(2 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Intel		Answer was incorrect
Samsung		Answer was correct
TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company)		Answer was correct

Will the U.S. President sign legislation which appropriates funds for the Advanced Packaging Manufacturing Program during FY'22?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast

Question Ends:
Oct 01, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 30, 2022 05:22PM UTC
(2 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
No, $0 appropriated		Answer was incorrect
More than $0 but less than $1 billion		Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to $1 billion but less than $2 billion		Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to $2 billion but less than $2.5 billion		Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to $2.5 billion		Answer was correct

By 31 December 2022, will the Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company announce plans to build a semiconductor fab in Europe?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast

Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 30, 2022 08:24PM UTC
(2 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes		Answer was incorrect

How many integrated circuit (IC) units will China produce in 2022?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast

Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 30, 2022 08:30PM UTC
(2 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Less than 200 billion		Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to 200 billion but less than 300 billion		Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to 300 billion but less than 400 billion		Answer was correct
More than or equal to 400 billion but less than 500 billion		Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to 500 billion		Answer was incorrect

Will the U.S. Congress pass a tax credit for semiconductor manufacturing or design before 1 January 2023?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast

Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 30, 2022 08:33PM UTC
(2 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes, for both manufacturing and design		Answer was incorrect
Yes, for only manufacturing		Answer was correct
Yes, for only design		Answer was incorrect
No		Answer was incorrect

What percentage of ASML's lithography sales will be to the United States in 2022?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast

Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 31, 2022 07:42PM UTC
(2 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Less than 5%		Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to 5% but less than 10%		Answer was correct
Between 10% and 15%, inclusive		Answer was incorrect
More than 15%		Answer was incorrect

What will be the price per ton of aluminum on 1 June 2022?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast

Question Ends:
Jun 01, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 31, 2022 07:46PM UTC
(2 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Less than $3000		Answer was correct
More than or equal to $3000 but less than $3500		Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to $3500 but less than $4000		Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to $4000		Answer was incorrect

How many Chinese Universities will be listed in QS World University Rankings’ top 100 universities for computer science in 2023?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast

Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2023 03:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 02, 2022 02:45PM UTC
(2 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Less than or equal to 5		Answer was incorrect
Between 6 and 7, inclusive		Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to 8		Answer was correct

In the next 6 months, will the United States Government publicly cancel or deny 1 or more visas to employees of any Chinese-based company accused of committing intellectual property theft?

As of May 2, 2022 09:58PM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast

Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 02, 2022 09:58PM UTC
(2 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Forecast Window	Forecast Expiration	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes		Answer was incorrect

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