Forecasted Questions
Will the Chinese government add Apple, Qualcomm, Cisco, or Boeing to its 'unreliable entities list' by August 10, 2020?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Aug 11, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Aug 11, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 28, 2020 09:15AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Jun 28, 2020 09:15AM UTC
(4 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||
Will the Indian government continue the TikTok ban through July 14, 2020?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jul 15, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Jul 15, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 08, 2020 01:33AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Jul 08, 2020 01:33AM UTC
(4 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was correct | |||
Will Germany, France, Italy, or Spain announce any new restrictions on the use of Huawei equipment in their 5G networks by July 31, 2020?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Aug 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Aug 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 27, 2020 02:40AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Jul 27, 2020 02:40AM UTC
(4 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||
What percentage of O-1 visas will go to Chinese nationals between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Sep 28, 2020 08:00PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Sep 28, 2020 08:00PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 27, 2020 04:03AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Jul 27, 2020 04:03AM UTC
(4 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 2% | Answer was correct | |||
| Between 2% and 4% inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than 4% but less than or equal to 6% | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than 6% but less than or equal to 8% | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than 8% | Answer was incorrect | |||
Will either China or the United States withdraw from their January 2020 trade truce by August 31, 2020?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Sep 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Sep 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 27, 2020 04:06AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Jul 27, 2020 04:06AM UTC
(4 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||
What percentage of U.S. residents will have an unfavorable view of China, as reflected in the 2022 Pew Global Attitudes Survey?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Aug 27, 2021 05:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Aug 27, 2021 05:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 04, 2020 01:20AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Dec 04, 2020 01:20AM UTC
(3 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 59% | Answer was incorrect | |||
| Between 59% and 66%, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than 66% but less than or equal to 73% | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than 73% but less than or equal to 80% | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than 80% | Answer was correct | |||
What percentage of U.S. AI publications will have a Chinese co-author in 2021?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Apr 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 04, 2020 01:30AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Dec 04, 2020 01:30AM UTC
(3 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 15% | Answer was incorrect | |||
| Between 15% and 17%, inclusive | Answer was correct | |||
| More than 17% but less than or equal to 19% | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than 19% but less than or equal to 21% | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than 21% | Answer was incorrect | |||