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Forecasted Questions

Will China announce an end to its zero Covid policy by 31 December 2022?

Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 19, 2022 08:16AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will China launch more orbital rockets than the U.S. in January 2023?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Feb 01, 2023 05:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 06, 2023 08:57AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 March 2023?

Forecast Count:
7 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Mar 01, 2023 05:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 17, 2023 08:34PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

What will Ginkgo Bioworks foundry revenue be in the first quarter of 2023?

Forecast Count:
7 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2023 03:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 02, 2023 07:41AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than $30 million Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to $30 million but less than $45 million Answer was correct
More than or equal to $45 million but less than $60 million Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to $60 million but less than $75 million Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to $75 million Answer was incorrect

Will a European country announce that they are sending fighter jets to Ukraine by 30 April 2023?

Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
May 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 08, 2023 07:43AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was correct

How many autonomous vehicle collisions will the California DMV record for January, February, and March 2023 combined?

Forecast Count:
7 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 26, 2023 08:36AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 20 Answer was incorrect
Between 20 and 29, inclusive Answer was incorrect
Between 30 and 39, inclusive Answer was correct
Between 40 and 49, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to 50 Answer was incorrect

Will any of the following countries announce on or before 31 March 2023 that they are joining the United States’ chip export ban against China?

Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 27, 2023 07:34PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Japan Answer was correct
The Netherlands Answer was correct
South Korea Answer was incorrect
Any other country not listed Answer was incorrect

Will Microsoft's AI-powered “new Bing” be available to the public by 30 April 2023?

Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
May 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 29, 2023 06:48PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was correct

What will be the highest average price recorded for a gallon of diesel in the U.S. between 6 Feb 2023 and 10 Apr 2023?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Apr 10, 2023 04:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 03, 2023 07:05AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than $4.60 Answer was correct
More than or equal to $4.60 but less than $4.80 Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to $4.80 but less than $5.00 Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to $5.00 but less than $5.20 Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to $5.20 Answer was incorrect

Will Russia successfully launch a moon mission on or before 1 Sep 2023?

Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Aug 31, 2023 04:00AM UTC
(9 months ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 20, 2023 01:06PM UTC
(9 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect
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