Forecasted Questions
Will China announce an end to its zero Covid policy by 31 December 2022?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 19, 2022 08:16AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Dec 19, 2022 08:16AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | Answer was incorrect |
Will China launch more orbital rockets than the U.S. in January 2023?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Feb 01, 2023 05:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Feb 01, 2023 05:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 06, 2023 08:57AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Jan 06, 2023 08:57AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | Answer was incorrect |
Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 March 2023?
Forecast Count:
7 Forecasts
7 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Mar 01, 2023 05:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Mar 01, 2023 05:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 17, 2023 08:34PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Feb 17, 2023 08:34PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | Answer was incorrect |
What will Ginkgo Bioworks foundry revenue be in the first quarter of 2023?
Forecast Count:
7 Forecasts
7 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2023 03:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Apr 01, 2023 03:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 02, 2023 07:41AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Mar 02, 2023 07:41AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Less than $30 million | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than or equal to $30 million but less than $45 million | Answer was correct | |||
More than or equal to $45 million but less than $60 million | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than or equal to $60 million but less than $75 million | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than or equal to $75 million | Answer was incorrect |
Will a European country announce that they are sending fighter jets to Ukraine by 30 April 2023?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
May 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
May 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 08, 2023 07:43AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Mar 08, 2023 07:43AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | Answer was correct |
How many autonomous vehicle collisions will the California DMV record for January, February, and March 2023 combined?
Forecast Count:
7 Forecasts
7 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Apr 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 26, 2023 08:36AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Mar 26, 2023 08:36AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Less than 20 | Answer was incorrect | |||
Between 20 and 29, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
Between 30 and 39, inclusive | Answer was correct | |||
Between 40 and 49, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than or equal to 50 | Answer was incorrect |
Will any of the following countries announce on or before 31 March 2023 that they are joining the United States’ chip export ban against China?
Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts
6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Apr 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 27, 2023 07:34PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Mar 27, 2023 07:34PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Japan | Answer was correct | |||
The Netherlands | Answer was correct | |||
South Korea | Answer was incorrect | |||
Any other country not listed | Answer was incorrect |
Will Microsoft's AI-powered “new Bing” be available to the public by 30 April 2023?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
May 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
May 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 29, 2023 06:48PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Mar 29, 2023 06:48PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | Answer was correct |
What will be the highest average price recorded for a gallon of diesel in the U.S. between 6 Feb 2023 and 10 Apr 2023?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Apr 10, 2023 04:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Apr 10, 2023 04:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 03, 2023 07:05AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Apr 03, 2023 07:05AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Less than $4.60 | Answer was correct | |||
More than or equal to $4.60 but less than $4.80 | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than or equal to $4.80 but less than $5.00 | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than or equal to $5.00 but less than $5.20 | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than or equal to $5.20 | Answer was incorrect |
Will Russia successfully launch a moon mission on or before 1 Sep 2023?
Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts
6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Aug 31, 2023 04:00AM UTC
(9 months ago)
Aug 31, 2023 04:00AM UTC
(9 months ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 20, 2023 01:06PM UTC
(9 months ago)
Aug 20, 2023 01:06PM UTC
(9 months ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | Answer was incorrect |