Forecasted Questions
Will either China or India respond to the events in Aksai Chin on June 15, 2020 by launching an airstrike, missile attack, or using another form of lethal force by June 28, 2020?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jun 29, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Jun 29, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 18, 2020 05:21PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Jun 18, 2020 05:21PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | Answer was incorrect |
What percentage of U.S. news articles about facial recognition will have a negative framing between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Oct 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Oct 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 19, 2020 04:41PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Jun 19, 2020 04:41PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Less than 30% | Answer was incorrect | |||
Between 30% and 40%, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than 40% but less than or equal to 50% | Answer was correct | |||
More than 50% but less than or equal to 60% | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than 60% | Answer was incorrect |
What percentage of U.S. corporate press releases about AI will reference AI ethics in 2021?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Apr 18, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Apr 18, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 19, 2020 04:45PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Jun 19, 2020 04:45PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Less than 1.5% | Answer was incorrect | |||
Between 1.5% and 3%, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than 3% but less than or equal to 4.5% | Answer was correct | |||
More than 4.5% but less than or equal to 6% | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than 6% | Answer was incorrect |
What will total U.S. trade volume with China (imports and exports of goods) be in 2020?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Sep 28, 2020 04:00PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Sep 28, 2020 04:00PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 19, 2020 04:51PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Jun 19, 2020 04:51PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Less than $300 billion | Answer was incorrect | |||
Between $300 billion and $450 billion, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than $450 billion but less than or equal to $600 billion | Answer was correct | |||
More than $600 billion but less than or equal to $750 billion | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than $750 billion | Answer was incorrect |
Will the Indian government continue the TikTok ban through July 14, 2020?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jul 15, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Jul 15, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 06, 2020 06:05PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Jul 06, 2020 06:05PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | Answer was correct |
Will the U.S. government cancel or shorten the 24-month STEM extension to the Optional Practical Training program by July 17, 2020?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jul 18, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Jul 18, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 06, 2020 06:08PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Jul 06, 2020 06:08PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | Answer was incorrect |
How much new funding will facial recognition companies raise between July 1 and December 31, 2020, inclusive?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Dec 07, 2020 09:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Dec 07, 2020 09:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 28, 2020 09:30PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Jul 28, 2020 09:30PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Less than $200 million | Answer was correct | |||
More than $200 million but less than or equal to $500 million | Answer was incorrect | |||
Between $500 million and $800 million, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than $800 million but less than or equal to $1.1 billion | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than $1.1 billion | Answer was incorrect |
How many postings for U.S. jobs requiring machine learning skills will be published between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Oct 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Oct 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 30, 2020 12:34AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Jul 30, 2020 12:34AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Less than 20,000 | Answer was incorrect | |||
Between 20,000 and 35,000, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than 35,000 but less than or equal to 50,000 | Answer was correct | |||
More than 50,000 but less than or equal to 65,000 | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than 65,000 | Answer was incorrect |
Will Germany, France, Italy, or Spain announce any new restrictions on the use of Huawei equipment in their 5G networks by July 31, 2020?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Aug 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Aug 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 30, 2020 05:12AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Jul 30, 2020 05:12AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | Answer was incorrect |
Will any private messages obtained in the July 15, 2020 Twitter hack be leaked to the public by November 2, 2020?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Oct 30, 2020 12:00PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Oct 30, 2020 12:00PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 31, 2020 07:55PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Jul 31, 2020 07:55PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | Answer was incorrect |