ioaurelius

ennui

Since Maduro has banned his major political opponents from participating in the election, this question is resolved by default unless  1) he dies, 2) he gives up office, or 3) the military unseats him. Other scenarios I can think of seem too unlikely to mention here. 

The first two are extremely unlikely. Why? Maduro is 61, with actuarial tables giving him a chance of death in the following year ~1.5%, though note Maduro likely has a healthier lifestyle than most 60 yr olds, better genetics, and better healthcare. And dictators rarely give up control over a country while still healthy.

A military coup is possible. There have been at least 4 armed attempts to overthrow the government in the last 30 years, 3 from the military. Notably, all have been unsuccessful, and Maduro probably has close ties to the military stemming from his relationship with Hugo Chavez.