PabloAMC

Pablo Moreno
About:

PhD student in Physics:

Twitter LinkedIn
Show more
View All Badges ยป
Forecasted Questions
Open Closed Resolved

What percentage of U.S. news articles about facial recognition will have a negative framing between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Oct 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 16, 2020 09:22PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 30% Answer was incorrect
Between 30% and 40%, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 40% but less than or equal to 50% Answer was correct
More than 50% but less than or equal to 60% Answer was incorrect
More than 60% Answer was incorrect

How much funding will U.S. tech startups raise between July 1 and December 31, 2020, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Dec 07, 2020 09:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 16, 2020 09:48PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than $12 billion Answer was incorrect
Between $12 billion and $16 billion, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than $16 billion but less than or equal to $20 billion Answer was correct
More than $20 billion but less than or equal to $24 billion Answer was incorrect
More than $24 billion Answer was incorrect

What will the combined revenue of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft be in the third quarter of 2020 (ending September 30)?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Sep 23, 2020 07:00PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 16, 2020 10:06PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than $190 billion Answer was incorrect
Between $190 billion and $230 billion, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than $230 billion but less than or equal to $270 billion Answer was correct
More than $270 billion but less than or equal to $310 billion Answer was incorrect
More than $310 billion Answer was incorrect

How many AI papers will be posted on arXiv between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
 2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Oct 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 16, 2020 10:34PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 6,000 Answer was incorrect
Between 6,000 and 8,000, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 8,000 but less than or equal to 10,000 Answer was incorrect
More than 10,000 but less than or equal to 12,000 Answer was correct
More than 12,000 Answer was incorrect

What percentage of AI papers posted on arXiv will be in the field of computer vision between July 1 and December 31, 2020, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Dec 07, 2020 09:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 16, 2020 10:50PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 30% Answer was incorrect
Between 30 and 33%, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 33% but less than or equal to 36% Answer was correct
More than 36% but less than or equal to 39% Answer was incorrect
More than 39% Answer was incorrect

What percentage of O-1 visas will go to Chinese nationals between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Sep 28, 2020 08:00PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 17, 2020 09:22PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 2% Answer was correct
Between 2% and 4% inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 4% but less than or equal to 6% Answer was incorrect
More than 6% but less than or equal to 8% Answer was incorrect
More than 8% Answer was incorrect

How many new H-1B visa applications submitted by the "Big 5" tech companies will the U.S. grant between October 1, 2020 and September 30, 2021, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Feb 25, 2021 06:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 17, 2020 09:45PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 5,000 Answer was incorrect
Between 5,000 and 7,500, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 7,500 but less than or equal to 10,000 Answer was incorrect
More than 10,000 but less than or equal to12,500 Answer was correct
More than12,500 Answer was incorrect

What will total U.S. trade volume with China (imports and exports of goods) be in 2020?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Sep 28, 2020 04:00PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 17, 2020 10:11PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than $300 billion Answer was incorrect
Between $300 billion and $450 billion, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than $450 billion but less than or equal to $600 billion Answer was correct
More than $600 billion but less than or equal to $750 billion Answer was incorrect
More than $750 billion Answer was incorrect

Will the Chinese People's Liberation Army invade Taiwan by May 31, 2021?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Nov 11, 2020 04:52PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 17, 2020 10:16PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

How many postings for U.S. jobs requiring machine learning skills will be published between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Oct 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 18, 2020 10:29PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 20,000 Answer was incorrect
Between 20,000 and 35,000, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 35,000 but less than or equal to 50,000 Answer was correct
More than 50,000 but less than or equal to 65,000 Answer was incorrect
More than 65,000 Answer was incorrect
Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username
Cancel