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International Diplomacy & Conflict
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(8 months)
From Russia to the South China Sea and around the globe, these questions forecast conflict, diplomatic agreements, and how these events will shape our world.
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Question
Crowd Forecast
Before 1 January 2025, will Iran announce that it will leave the JCPOA ("Iran nuclear deal")?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
·
91
·
469
4%
Chance
Will Russia deliver the below weapons systems to Iran before 1 February 2025?
Closing
Feb 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
·
74
·
464
Will Dina Boluarte cease to be president of Peru through an irregular transition before 1 May 2024?
Closing
May 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
·
65
·
460
0%
Chance
Will Israel and Saudi Arabia publicly acknowledge that they are resuming the normalization process in the next six months?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
·
100
·
415
2%
Chance
Will Iran launch missiles or conduct an airstrike against U.S. forces in the next six months?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
·
97
·
407
5%
Chance
From 1 June 2023 to 31 May 2024, how many battles and incidents of violence against civilians will ACLED record in Venezuela?
Closing
Jun 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
·
46
·
382
From 1 June 2023 to 31 May 2024, how many protests and riots will ACLED record in Colombia?
Closing
Jun 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
·
42
·
357
Will a JCPOA participant country begin the process of imposing “snapback” sanctions on Iran by 31 December 2024?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
·
55
·
329
3%
Chance
In the next six months, will the Global Protest Tracker record an anti-government protest in Iran with 10,000 or more participants lasting at least a week?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
·
65
·
285
10%
Chance
Will the Houthi movement and Yemen reach a ceasefire that is in effect on 31 December 2024 and lasts at least six months?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
·
47
·
264
3%
Chance
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