Confirmed previous forecast
2.006039
Relative Brier Score
185
Forecasts
2
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 28 | 335 | 185 | 706 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 59 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 28 | 73 | 50 | 138 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 21 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Badge
Power Forecaster - Jun 2024
Earned for making 20+ forecasts in a month.
New Prediction
Will any listed Muslim-majority country sign an agreement establishing or normalizing diplomatic relations with Israel in the next six months?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1%
(0%)
Yes
Jun 30, 2024 to Dec 30, 2024
99%
(0%)
No
Jun 30, 2024 to Dec 30, 2024
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
2%
(0%)
Yes
Jun 30, 2024 to Jun 30, 2025
98%
(0%)
No
Jun 30, 2024 to Jun 30, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
50%
(0%)
Yes
Jun 30, 2024 to Dec 30, 2024
50%
(0%)
No
Jun 30, 2024 to Dec 30, 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
(0%)
Yes
95%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
16%
(0%)
Yes
Jun 30, 2024 to Jun 30, 2025
84%
(0%)
No
Jun 30, 2024 to Jun 30, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
2023 Q2
2%
(0%)
2023 Q3
5%
(0%)
2023 Q4
3%
(0%)
2024 Q1
3%
(0%)
2024 Q2
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
100%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
50%
(0%)
Yes
50%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
3%
(0%)
Yes
97%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files