INFER Public

In the next six months, will U.S. and China announce the establishment of an ongoing bilateral dialog mechanism that includes discussions of emerging technologies?

As of Jun 16, 2022 11:36PM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.

Question Ends:
Jun 29, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
May 16, 2022 11:36PM UTC
(2 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Forecast Window	Forecast Expiration	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes		Answer was incorrect

What will be the price per ton of aluminum on 1 June 2022?

Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Jun 01, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
May 26, 2022 10:50PM UTC
(2 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Less than $3000		Answer was correct
More than or equal to $3000 but less than $3500		Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to $3500 but less than $4000		Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to $4000		Answer was incorrect

On 30 June 2022, how much funding will Crunchbase’s “Hub for Artificial Intelligence Companies Founded in the Last Year” report that those companies have raised?

Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Jun 30, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 24, 2022 01:25PM UTC
(2 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Less than or equal to 200 million		Answer was incorrect
More than 200 million but less than 250 million		Answer was incorrect
Between 250 million and 300 million, inclusive		Answer was incorrect
More than 300 million		Answer was correct

By 30 June 2022, will a date be announced for a Mobileye IPO?

Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Jun 30, 2022 03:59PM UTC
(2 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 24, 2022 01:27PM UTC
(2 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes		Answer was incorrect

How many autonomous vehicle collisions will the California DMV record for June 2022?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast

Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 24, 2022 02:01PM UTC
(2 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Less than 5		Answer was incorrect
Between 5 and 9, inclusive		Answer was incorrect
Between 10 and 14, inclusive		Answer was correct
Between 15 and 19, inclusive		Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to 20		Answer was incorrect

Will the World Health Organization declare a new Public Health Emergency of International Concern between August 1, 2021 and July 31, 2022?

Forecast Count:
8 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Aug 01, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 03, 2022 06:50PM UTC
(2 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes		Answer was correct

Will the U.S. Senate vote on the American Innovation and Choice Online Act before 30 July 2022?

Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Jul 30, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 20, 2022 10:26PM UTC
(2 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes, and it will pass		Answer was incorrect
Yes, and it will not pass		Answer was incorrect
No		Answer was correct

Will the U.S. President sign legislation which appropriates funds for the Advanced Packaging Manufacturing Program during FY'22?

Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Oct 01, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 20, 2022 10:28PM UTC
(2 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
No, $0 appropriated		Answer was incorrect
More than $0 but less than $1 billion		Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to $1 billion but less than $2 billion		Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to $2 billion but less than $2.5 billion		Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to $2.5 billion		Answer was correct

Will the Council of the European Union announce sanctions on the provision of cloud services to Russia before 31 July 2022?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast

Question Ends:
Jul 31, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 27, 2022 08:03AM UTC
(2 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes		Answer was incorrect

How many tech startup layoff events will be recorded in July 2022?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast

Question Ends:
Aug 01, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 27, 2022 08:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Less than or equal to 74		Answer was incorrect
Between 75 and 99, inclusive		Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to 100		Answer was correct

Hobbes

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