Forecasted Questions
Will China announce an end to its zero Covid policy by 31 December 2022?
Forecast Count:
11 Forecasts
11 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 26, 2022 01:24AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Dec 26, 2022 01:24AM UTC
(1 year ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||
Will the price per chip-hour of Google’s cloud-based Tensor Processing Unit (TPU v4) be greater than $3.22 on January 1, 2023?
Forecast Count:
10 Forecasts
10 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 28, 2022 11:54PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Dec 28, 2022 11:54PM UTC
(1 year ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||
Will Hu Chunhua be a member of the Standing Committee of the Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 31, 2022 03:43PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Dec 31, 2022 03:43PM UTC
(1 year ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||
Will Russia test or use a nuclear weapon in the next month?
As of Feb 16, 2023 03:14PM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
7 Forecasts
7 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Feb 01, 2023 05:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Feb 01, 2023 05:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 16, 2023 03:14PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Jan 16, 2023 03:14PM UTC
(1 year ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||||
Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 March 2023?
Forecast Count:
28 Forecasts
28 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Mar 01, 2023 05:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Mar 01, 2023 05:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 28, 2023 04:37AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Feb 28, 2023 04:37AM UTC
(1 year ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||
Will clashes between Chinese and Indian security forces result in 25 or more fatalities between 28 April 2022 and 1 April 2023?
Forecast Count:
9 Forecasts
9 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2023 03:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Apr 01, 2023 03:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 21, 2023 01:29PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Mar 21, 2023 01:29PM UTC
(1 year ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||
Will North Korea conduct a nuclear test on or before 31 March 2023?
Forecast Count:
21 Forecasts
21 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Apr 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 25, 2023 12:20PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Mar 25, 2023 12:20PM UTC
(1 year ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||
How many Chinese Universities will be listed in QS World University Rankings’ top 100 universities for computer science in 2023?
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2023 03:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Apr 01, 2023 03:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 27, 2023 01:53AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Mar 27, 2023 01:53AM UTC
(1 year ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than or equal to 5 | Answer was incorrect | |||
| Between 6 and 7, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than or equal to 8 | Answer was correct | |||
How many autonomous vehicle collisions will the California DMV record for January, February, and March 2023 combined?
Forecast Count:
23 Forecasts
23 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Apr 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 31, 2023 02:06AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Mar 31, 2023 02:06AM UTC
(1 year ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 20 | Answer was incorrect | |||
| Between 20 and 29, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
| Between 30 and 39, inclusive | Answer was correct | |||
| Between 40 and 49, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than or equal to 50 | Answer was incorrect | |||
What will be the highest average price recorded for a gallon of diesel in the U.S. between 6 Feb 2023 and 10 Apr 2023?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Apr 10, 2023 04:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Apr 10, 2023 04:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 06, 2023 03:33PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Apr 06, 2023 03:33PM UTC
(1 year ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than $4.60 | Answer was correct | |||
| More than or equal to $4.60 but less than $4.80 | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than or equal to $4.80 but less than $5.00 | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than or equal to $5.00 but less than $5.20 | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than or equal to $5.20 | Answer was incorrect | |||