Confirmed previous forecast
0.076242
Relative Brier Score
462
Forecasts
98
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 52 | 579 | 462 | 747 |
| Comments | 0 | 7 | 119 | 82 | 227 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 17 | 32 | 28 | 43 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 12 | 146 | 98 | 183 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 July 2025?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
99%
(0%)
No
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
51%
(0%)
Yes
Jul 14, 2024 to Jan 14, 2025
49%
(0%)
No
Jul 14, 2024 to Jan 14, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
51%
(0%)
Yes
Jul 14, 2024 to Jul 14, 2025
49%
(0%)
No
Jul 14, 2024 to Jul 14, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
3%
(0%)
Yes
97%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
3%
(0%)
Yes
Jul 14, 2024 to Jan 14, 2025
97%
(0%)
No
Jul 14, 2024 to Jan 14, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
100%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
S-400 or S-500 missile system
1%
(0%)
Su-35 fighter jets
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Jul 14, 2024 to Jan 14, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Kharkiv
0%
(0%)
Kyiv
0%
(0%)
Odesa
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
15%
(0%)
Yes
Jul 14, 2024 to Jul 14, 2025
85%
(0%)
No
Jul 14, 2024 to Jul 14, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files