INFER Public

On 28 February 2023, how many states will be following the California emissions standard banning the sale of new emissions-producing vehicles by 2035?

Question Ends:
Mar 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 28, 2023 05:01AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Less than 5		Answer was incorrect
Between 5 and 11, inclusive		Answer was correct
Between 12 and 17, inclusive		Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to 18		Answer was incorrect

Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month?

As of Mar 28, 2023 05:02AM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.

Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Mar 01, 2023 05:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 28, 2023 05:02AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Forecast Window	Forecast Expiration	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes		Answer was incorrect

Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 March 2023?

Forecast Count:
5 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Mar 01, 2023 05:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 28, 2023 05:02AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes		Answer was incorrect

How many Chinese Universities will be listed in QS World University Rankings’ top 100 universities for computer science in 2023?

Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2023 03:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 28, 2023 05:03AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Less than or equal to 5		Answer was incorrect
Between 6 and 7, inclusive		Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to 8		Answer was correct

From April 2022 through March 2023, what will be the highest number of ACLED recorded protests/riots in a single calendar month in Lebanon?

Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 21, 2023 09:17AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Less than 200		Answer was correct
More than or equal to 200 but less than 400		Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to 400 but less than 600		Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to 600 but less than 800		Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to 800 but less than 1000		Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to 1000		Answer was incorrect

Will any of the following countries announce on or before 31 March 2023 that they are joining the United States’ chip export ban against China?

Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 21, 2023 09:20AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Japan		Answer was correct
The Netherlands		Answer was correct
South Korea		Answer was incorrect
Any other country not listed		Answer was incorrect

Will North Korea conduct a nuclear test on or before 31 March 2023?

Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 21, 2023 09:21AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes		Answer was incorrect

How many autonomous vehicle collisions will the California DMV record for January, February, and March 2023 combined?

Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 21, 2023 11:33AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Less than 20		Answer was incorrect
Between 20 and 29, inclusive		Answer was incorrect
Between 30 and 39, inclusive		Answer was correct
Between 40 and 49, inclusive		Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to 50		Answer was incorrect

What will Ginkgo Bioworks foundry revenue be in the first quarter of 2023?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast

Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2023 03:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 26, 2023 07:53PM UTC
(1 year ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Less than $30 million		Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to $30 million but less than $45 million		Answer was correct
More than or equal to $45 million but less than $60 million		Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to $60 million but less than $75 million		Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to $75 million		Answer was incorrect

Will SpaceX launch Starship into orbit before 1 April 2023?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast

Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 26, 2023 07:54PM UTC
(1 year ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes		Answer was incorrect

Revmag

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