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Tolga
Tolga Bilge
About:
I'm also on GJOpen:
https://www.gjopen.com/forecaster/Tolga
[email protected]
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Following (36)
Followers (21)
Questions
Topics
Seasons
2024 Season
2020 Season
2021 Season
2022 Season
2023 Season
Artificial Intelligence
China Politics, Relations, and Technology
Formerly on Foretell
Global AI Race: Talent, Research, and Tech
How Will the U.S. Technology Sector Develop in the Coming Years?
Immigration
Industry
INFER x Cosmic Bazaar Collaboration
International Diplomacy & Conflict
Iran: Threats & Influence
Issue Campaign: U.S. Department of Defense - Silicon Valley Relationship
Microelectronic Technologies
Public Attitudes
Research
Russia-Ukraine War
Science & Technology
Synthetic Biology in the Energy Sector
The Water Cooler
U.S.-China
Decoding Disinformation
EA College Tournament
Future Bowl
Government Investment
Iran Nuclear Program
Iran-VNSAs
Manufacturing
metric-question
Microelectronics
Mission: AI Advancement
Mission: Diplomacy
Open RAN
Quantum Computing
semiconductors
Semiconductor Supply Chain
U.S. tech sector
Date Ended
Question
Relative Brier Score
Apr 17, 2023 04:00PM UTC
From April 2022 through March 2023, what will be the highest number of ACLED recorded protests/riots in a single calendar month in Lebanon?
-0.004346
Apr 17, 2023 04:00PM UTC
How will the U.S. rank in AI skills penetration in 2022?
-0.130584
Apr 17, 2023 04:00PM UTC
Will events involving Russian security forces result in 25 or more fatalities occurring in Georgia or Moldova before 1 April 2023?
-0.001636
Apr 17, 2023 04:00AM UTC
From 1 April 2022 to 1 April 2023, what will be the highest number of ACLED recorded protests/riots in a single calendar month in Russia?
-0.011183
Apr 05, 2023 07:15PM UTC
Will North Korea conduct a nuclear test on or before 31 March 2023?
-0.014494
Apr 05, 2023 07:14PM UTC
Will Russia test or use a nuclear weapon in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Dec 6, 2022 and Feb 1, 2023)
0.0
Apr 01, 2023 04:01AM UTC
Before 1 April 2023, will the government of the Republic of Srpska declare secession from Bosnia-Herzegovina (BiH), establish a timeline for secession, or schedule a referendum on secession?
-0.000323
Apr 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
Will Chinese security or paramilitary forces take possession of any island currently under control of Taiwan before 1 April 2023?
-0.000308
Apr 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Jan 3, 2023 and Mar 1, 2023)
0.000081
Apr 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
Will events involving Russian security forces result in 25 or more fatalities occurring on or in the soil, airspace, or territorial waters of a NATO member state before 1 April 2023?
-0.000486
Mar 01, 2023 05:00AM UTC
Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 March 2023?
-0.000746
Feb 28, 2023 05:00PM UTC
On 28 February 2023, how many states will be following the California emissions standard banning the sale of new emissions-producing vehicles by 2035?
-0.000901
Feb 03, 2023 05:00AM UTC
Will China launch more orbital rockets than the U.S. in January 2023?
-0.000015
Feb 01, 2023 06:46PM UTC
Will the European Union’s economic sanctions on Russia expire or be revoked for whole sectors or industries by 31 January 2023?
-0.000026
Jan 03, 2023 10:00PM UTC
Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Dec 3, 2022 and Jan 3, 2023)
0.000394
Jan 01, 2023 05:01AM UTC
Will Li Keqiang be a member of the Standing Committee of the Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?
-0.00454
Jan 01, 2023 05:01AM UTC
Will Hu Chunhua be a member of the Standing Committee of the Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?
-0.017376
Jan 01, 2023 05:01AM UTC
Will Chen Min'er be a member of the Standing Committee of the Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?
-0.086233
Jan 01, 2023 05:01AM UTC
By 31 December 2022, will the Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company announce plans to build a semiconductor fab in Europe?
-0.005763
Jan 01, 2023 05:01AM UTC
Will Xi Jinping be General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?
-0.000353
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