Kyiv and Odesa out of reach but Kharkiv possible if Eastern front collapses.
1.240532
Relative Brier Score
374
Forecasts
3
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 6 | 90 | 15 | 374 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 6 | 25 | 7 | 74 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Definitions | |||||
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New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
20%
Kharkiv
0%
Kyiv
0%
Odesa
Files
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Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
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Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
(0%)
Yes
95%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
15%
(0%)
Yes
85%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
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New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
100 people is unlikely in one attack