74th
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ansantillan

Andrés Santillán Reich
About:

Just graduated from university. I am currently an advisor on parliamentary diplomacy in the Mexican Senate. Interested in geopolitics mainly, however, I have growing interests in blockchain technology and new innovative techs. Trying to learn from the best.

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Forecasted Questions
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How will the number of Japanese Air Force responses to threats to Japan's territorial airspace by Chinese military aircraft change over the next three years?

Forecast Count:
 8 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Apr 15, 2022 11:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Apr 14, 2022 10:33PM UTC
(2 years ago)

How will the combined annual revenue of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft change over the next three years?

Forecast Count:
 12 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Aug 24, 2022 11:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Aug 23, 2022 02:56PM UTC
(1 year ago)

Which company will be the largest semiconductor company by sales revenue in 2022?

Forecast Count:
 11 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Nov 01, 2022 04:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Oct 28, 2022 01:41AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Intel 2% 16%
Samsung 8% 53%
TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company) 90% 30%
Other 0% 0%

What percentage of the world's AI patents will be granted in China in 2022?

Forecast Count:
 4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Dec 08, 2022 11:43PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 5% 0% 5%
More than or equal to 5% but less than 7% 70% 73%
More than or equal to 7% 30% 22%

How will annual money raised by U.S. tech startups change over the next three years?

Forecast Count:
 17 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Dec 11, 2022 07:08PM UTC
(1 year ago)

What percentage of the world's AI patents will be granted in the United States in 2022?

Forecast Count:
 4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Dec 13, 2022 05:52PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 40% 53% 51%
More than or equal to 40% but less than 50% 37% 38%
More than or equal to 50% but less than 60% 10% 10%
More than or equal to 60% 0% 1%

What percentage of the world's AI patents will be granted in the European Union and United Kingdom in 2022?

Forecast Count:
 4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Dec 13, 2022 05:52PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 7% 50% 43%
More than or equal to 7% but less than 10% 50% 53%
More than or equal to 10% 0% 4%

What will be the price of the Dutch TTF futures monthly contracts between March 2022 and February 2023?

Forecast Count:
 32 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Mar 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Feb 18, 2023 06:07PM UTC
(1 year ago)

Will Imran Khan be re-elected as prime minister following Pakistan’s upcoming general election?

Forecast Count:
 10 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Feb 09, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(3 months ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Feb 06, 2024 06:00AM UTC
(3 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 0% 0%

Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months?

As of Apr 12, 2024 06:53PM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
 12 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Apr 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(2 months ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Mar 12, 2024 06:53PM UTC
(2 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes 1% Mar 12, 2024 to Sep 12, 2024 Apr 12, 2024 1%
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