Forecasted Questions
Will Iran be impacted by a cyberattack targeting critical infrastructure between 27 February 2024 and 1 March 2025?
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 07, 2024 11:58AM UTC
(1 month ago)
Apr 07, 2024 11:58AM UTC
(1 month ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 77% | 81% | -4% | +4% |
| No | 23% | 19% | +4% | -4% |
Will a North American testing center (OTIC) issue an O-RAN Certificate between 1 April 2024 and 31 March 2025?
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(11 months from now)
Apr 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(11 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 11, 2024 11:33PM UTC
(1 month ago)
Apr 11, 2024 11:33PM UTC
(1 month ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49% | 57% | -8% | +9% |
| No | 51% | 43% | +8% | -9% |
Will a collaboration between Huawei and the O-RAN Alliance be announced before 1 October 2025?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Oct 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Oct 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 11, 2024 11:38PM UTC
(1 month ago)
Apr 11, 2024 11:38PM UTC
(1 month ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3% | 13% | -10% | +2% |
| No | 97% | 87% | +10% | -2% |
Will Iran be at war with another country in the next year?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 22, 2024 11:02AM UTC
(24 days ago)
Apr 22, 2024 11:02AM UTC
(24 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3% | Apr 22, 2024 to Apr 22, 2025 | Jul 22, 2024 | 10% | -7% | -5% |
| No | 97% | Apr 22, 2024 to Apr 22, 2025 | Jul 22, 2024 | 90% | +7% | +5% |
Will Russia initiate a major ground offensive to attack the following Ukrainian cities before 31 December 2024?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 22, 2024 11:09AM UTC
(24 days ago)
Apr 22, 2024 11:09AM UTC
(24 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kharkiv | 3% | 61% | -58% | +49% |
| Kyiv | 0% | 3% | -3% | +3% |
| Odesa | 0% | 3% | -3% | +1% |
From 1 June 2023 to 31 May 2024, how many fatalities due to gang violence will ACLED record in El Salvador?
Forecast Count:
28 Forecasts
28 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jun 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(16 days from now)
Jun 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(16 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
May 02, 2024 11:42PM UTC
(13 days ago)
May 02, 2024 11:42PM UTC
(13 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than or equal to 49 | 94% | 96% | -2% | +2% |
| Between 50 and 99, inclusive | 6% | 4% | +2% | -2% |
| Between 100 and 149, inclusive | 0% | 0% | +0% | +0% |
| Between 150 and 199, inclusive | 0% | 0% | +0% | +0% |
| More than or equal to 200 | 0% | 0% | +0% | +0% |
Will at least five more exoplanets be found to be potentially habitable between 1 February 2024 and 31 December 2024?
Forecast Count:
12 Forecasts
12 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
May 05, 2024 06:58AM UTC
(11 days ago)
May 05, 2024 06:58AM UTC
(11 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 77% | 80% | -3% | +0% |
| No | 23% | 20% | +3% | +0% |