sepeskoe

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Executive level management. 40 years of high tech R&D for the DoD, Intelligence Community and Homeland Security.

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Forecasted Questions
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What percentage of U.S. news articles about AI will be about privacy and security between July 1 and December 31, 2021, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
 4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jul 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jun 09, 2021 09:28PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 0.45% Answer was incorrect
Between 0.45% and 0.7%, inclusive Answer was correct
More than 0.7% but less than or equal to 0.95% Answer was incorrect
More than 0.95% but less than or equal to 1.2% Answer was incorrect
More than 1.2% Answer was incorrect

How much funding will U.S. tech startups raise between July 1 and December 31, 2021, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
 4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jul 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jun 09, 2021 09:28PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than $13 billion Answer was incorrect
Between $13 billion and $17 billion, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than $17 billion but less than or equal to $21 billion Answer was incorrect
More than $21 billion but less than or equal to $25 billion Answer was incorrect
More than $25 billion Answer was correct

How many U.S. job postings requiring machine learning skills will be published between July 1 and December 31, 2021, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
 2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jul 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jun 14, 2021 01:43PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 70,000 Answer was incorrect
Between 70,000 and 90,000, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 90,000 but less than or equal to 110,000 Answer was incorrect
More than 110,000 but less than or equal to 130,000 Answer was incorrect
More than 130,000 Answer was correct

How many members will the Alphabet Workers Union have by December 31, 2021?

Forecast Count:
 4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Aug 27, 2021 05:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jul 28, 2021 02:28PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 800 Answer was incorrect
Between 800 and 4,000 Answer was correct
More than 4,000 but less than or equal to 20,000 Answer was incorrect
More than 20,000 but less than or equal to 100,000 Answer was incorrect
More than 100,000 Answer was incorrect

Will a G7 country boycott the Beijing 2022 Winter Olympics before January 1, 2022?

Forecast Count:
 3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Aug 27, 2021 05:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jul 28, 2021 02:28PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

What percentage of U.S. residents will have an unfavorable view of China, as reflected in the 2022 Pew Global Attitudes Survey?

Forecast Count:
 5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Aug 27, 2021 05:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jul 28, 2021 02:33PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 59% Answer was incorrect
Between 59% and 66%, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 66% but less than or equal to 73% Answer was incorrect
More than 73% but less than or equal to 80% Answer was incorrect
More than 80% Answer was correct

Following El Salvador, will another country classify Bitcoin as legal tender by December 31, 2021?

Forecast Count:
 2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Aug 17, 2021 01:00PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Aug 08, 2021 04:37AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

How many new H-1B visa applications submitted by the "Big 5" tech companies will the U.S. grant in FY 2022 (September 2021 through October 2022)?

Forecast Count:
 4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Oct 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Aug 29, 2021 03:29AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 7,500 Answer was incorrect
Between 7,500 and 9,500, inclusive Answer was correct
More than 9,500 but less than or equal to 11,500 Answer was incorrect
More than 11,500 but less than or equal to 13,500 Answer was incorrect
More than 13,500 Answer was incorrect

[Experimental] What will be the consensus crowd forecast on October 1, 2021, on whether COVID-19 originated in a lab in Wuhan, China?

Forecast Count:
 3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Oct 01, 2021 05:59PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Aug 29, 2021 03:33AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
0-10% Answer was incorrect
10-20% Answer was incorrect
20-30% Answer was incorrect
30-40% Answer was correct
40-50% Answer was incorrect
50-60% Answer was incorrect
60-70% Answer was incorrect
70-80% Answer was incorrect
80-90% Answer was incorrect
90-100% Answer was incorrect

Will China send a daily record number of military planes into Taiwan's air defense identification zone (ADIZ) next month?

As of Dec 29, 2021 09:06PM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Dec 31, 2021 11:59PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Nov 29, 2021 09:06PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect
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