Forecasted Questions
What will the Senate's average Bipartisan Index score be from 2021-2022?
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Jan 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 20, 2021 08:02PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Oct 20, 2021 08:02PM UTC
(2 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than -0.25 | 35% | 14% | +21% | -2% |
| Between -0.25 and 0, inclusive | 50% | 31% | +19% | +0% |
| More than 0 but less than or equal to 0.25 | 10% | 33% | -23% | +2% |
| More than 0.25 but less than or equal to 0.5 | 5% | 17% | -12% | +0% |
| More than 0.5 | 0% | 4% | -4% | +0% |
How politically polarized will U.S. citizens be in 2024?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Jan 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 20, 2021 08:29PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Oct 20, 2021 08:29PM UTC
(2 years ago)
How will the Geopolitical Risk (GPR) Index change over the next three years?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Aug 24, 2022 11:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Aug 24, 2022 11:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 20, 2021 08:37PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Oct 20, 2021 08:37PM UTC
(2 years ago)
How will annual money raised by private U.S. tech companies change over the next three years?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 13, 2022 12:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Jan 13, 2022 12:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 20, 2021 08:43PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Oct 20, 2021 08:43PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Which tech company will be the first to reach a market cap of $5 trillion?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Feb 28, 2022 01:34PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Feb 28, 2022 01:34PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 08, 2022 12:56AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Feb 08, 2022 12:56AM UTC
(2 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apple | 30% | 48% | -18% | +14% |
| Microsoft | 20% | 22% | -2% | +3% |
| Alphabet (Google) | 20% | 13% | +7% | -3% |
| Amazon | 20% | 10% | +10% | -5% |
| Tesla | 5% | 3% | +2% | -4% |
| Meta (Facebook) | 0% | 1% | -1% | -4% |
| Other | 5% | 2% | +3% | -1% |
How will the percentage of SMIC revenue from 28 nm chips or smaller change over the next three years?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2022 11:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Apr 01, 2022 11:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 31, 2022 02:36AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Mar 31, 2022 02:36AM UTC
(2 years ago)
How will the percentage of U.S residents who are concerned about how the government uses their data change over the next three years?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2022 11:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Apr 01, 2022 11:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 31, 2022 02:36AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Mar 31, 2022 02:36AM UTC
(2 years ago)
How will the number of Defense Innovation Unit transitions change over the next three years?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 02, 2022 11:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Apr 02, 2022 11:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 31, 2022 02:38AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Mar 31, 2022 02:38AM UTC
(2 years ago)
How will the combined annual revenue of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft change over the next three years?
Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts
6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Aug 24, 2022 11:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Aug 24, 2022 11:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 20, 2022 12:02AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Aug 20, 2022 12:02AM UTC
(1 year ago)
How will annual money raised by U.S. tech startups change over the next three years?
Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts
6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 30, 2022 11:43PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Nov 30, 2022 11:43PM UTC
(1 year ago)