Forecasted Questions
Will a collaboration between Huawei and the O-RAN Alliance be announced before 1 October 2025?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Oct 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Oct 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 25, 2024 07:29PM UTC
(20 days ago)
Apr 25, 2024 07:29PM UTC
(20 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 15% | 13% | +2% | -6% |
| No | 85% | 87% | -2% | +6% |
Will a North American testing center (OTIC) issue an O-RAN Certificate between 1 April 2024 and 31 March 2025?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(11 months from now)
Apr 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(11 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 25, 2024 07:43PM UTC
(20 days ago)
Apr 25, 2024 07:43PM UTC
(20 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 80% | 57% | +23% | +5% |
| No | 20% | 43% | -23% | -5% |
Will Russia invade Estonia, Latvia, and/or Lithuania before 1 April 2027?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(3 years from now)
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(3 years from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 25, 2024 09:38PM UTC
(20 days ago)
Apr 25, 2024 09:38PM UTC
(20 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estonia | 0% | 1% | -1% | +0% |
| Latvia | 0% | 1% | -1% | -1% |
| Lithuania | 1% | 1% | +0% | +0% |
Will Russia invade Moldova, Armenia, Georgia, and/or Kazakhstan before 1 April 2027?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(3 years from now)
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(3 years from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 25, 2024 09:59PM UTC
(20 days ago)
Apr 25, 2024 09:59PM UTC
(20 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moldova | 15% | 14% | +1% | -9% |
| Armenia | 0% | 1% | -1% | +0% |
| Georgia | 3% | 8% | -5% | +5% |
| Kazakhstan | 3% | 2% | +1% | +0% |
Will 100 or more people be killed or injured in a Russian attack on the city of Kyiv before 1 June 2024?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jun 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(16 days from now)
Jun 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(16 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 26, 2024 03:15PM UTC
(20 days ago)
Apr 26, 2024 03:15PM UTC
(20 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1% | 2% | -1% | +0% |
| No | 99% | 98% | +1% | +0% |
Will Ali Khamenei flee Iran or cease to be Supreme Leader in the next year?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(11 months from now)
Apr 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(11 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 27, 2024 03:48PM UTC
(19 days ago)
Apr 27, 2024 03:48PM UTC
(19 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 10% | Apr 27, 2024 to Apr 27, 2025 | Jul 27, 2024 | 6% | +4% | -3% |
| No | 90% | Apr 27, 2024 to Apr 27, 2025 | Jul 27, 2024 | 94% | -4% | +3% |
Will Israel declare war on Hezbollah in the next 12 months?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Sep 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Sep 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 27, 2024 04:14PM UTC
(19 days ago)
Apr 27, 2024 04:14PM UTC
(19 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 25% | Apr 27, 2024 to Apr 27, 2025 | May 27, 2024 | 17% | +8% | -8% |
| No | 75% | Apr 27, 2024 to Apr 27, 2025 | May 27, 2024 | 83% | -8% | +8% |
From 1 June 2023 to 31 May 2024, how many protests and riots will ACLED record in Colombia?
Forecast Count:
7 Forecasts
7 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jun 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(16 days from now)
Jun 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(16 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 29, 2024 05:20PM UTC
(16 days ago)
Apr 29, 2024 05:20PM UTC
(16 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than or equal to 749 | 0% | 0% | +0% | -1% |
| Between 750 and 1499, inclusive | 0% | 0% | +0% | +0% |
| Between 1500 and 2249, inclusive | 2% | 5% | -3% | -1% |
| Between 2250 and 2999, inclusive | 95% | 95% | +0% | +2% |
| More than or equal to 3000 | 3% | 0% | +3% | +0% |
Will the Houthi movement and Yemen reach a ceasefire that is in effect on 31 December 2024 and lasts at least six months?
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 29, 2024 05:20PM UTC
(16 days ago)
Apr 29, 2024 05:20PM UTC
(16 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3% | 4% | -1% | +1% |
| No | 97% | 96% | +1% | -1% |
Will Iran be at war with another country in the next year?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 29, 2024 05:20PM UTC
(16 days ago)
Apr 29, 2024 05:20PM UTC
(16 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 13% | Apr 29, 2024 to Apr 29, 2025 | Jul 29, 2024 | 10% | +3% | -4% |
| No | 87% | Apr 29, 2024 to Apr 29, 2025 | Jul 29, 2024 | 90% | -3% | +4% |