DustyRose1010

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I enjoy political news, political satire, and I would've had a career in International Relations had it not been for that one mandatory stat class requirement. ;)

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Forecasted Questions
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Will the Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) seize control of any Taiwanese-occupied features in the South China Sea before July 1, 2021?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Jun 19, 2021 03:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jun 01, 2021 02:50AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea between July 1 and December 31, 2021, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Jul 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jun 01, 2021 02:56AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will a G7 country boycott the Beijing 2022 Winter Olympics before January 1, 2022?

Forecast Count:
 2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Aug 27, 2021 05:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jul 30, 2021 09:52PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will the U.S. government file an antitrust lawsuit against Apple, Amazon, or Facebook between January 20, 2021 and January 19, 2025?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Dec 06, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Nov 28, 2021 06:48AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was correct

What percentage of the continental U.S. will be experiencing severe drought or worse on 22 February 2022?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Feb 22, 2022 09:59PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Feb 05, 2022 06:33AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 33.0 Answer was incorrect
Between 33.0 and 35.5, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 35.5 but less than 36.5 Answer was correct
Between 36.5 and 39.0, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 39.0 Answer was incorrect

What will the 'Big 5' (Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft) tech companies' average reputation ranking be in the 2022 Axios Harris poll?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Feb 28, 2022 11:59PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Feb 05, 2022 06:49AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 30 (good reputation) Answer was incorrect
Between 30 and 40, inclusive Answer was correct
More than 40 but less than or equal to 50 Answer was incorrect
More than 50 but less than or equal to 60 Answer was incorrect
More than 60 (bad reputation) Answer was incorrect

Will Russia invade Ukraine by December 31, 2022?

Forecast Count:
 2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Dec 31, 2022 11:59PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Feb 21, 2022 06:15AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was correct

In Stanford University's 2022 AI Report, what percentage of new US resident PhD's in AI will be Asian, Black or African American, Hispanic, or multiracial?

Forecast Count:
 2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Apr 01, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Mar 08, 2022 06:25AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 28 Answer was incorrect
Between 28 and 30, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 30 but less than 32 Answer was incorrect
Between 32 and 35, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 35 Answer was correct

Will the U.S. President sign legislation which appropriates funds for the Advanced Packaging Manufacturing Program during FY'22?

Forecast Count:
 2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Oct 01, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Apr 09, 2022 06:16AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
No, $0 appropriated Answer was incorrect
More than $0 but less than $1 billion Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to $1 billion but less than $2 billion Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to $2 billion but less than $2.5 billion Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to $2.5 billion Answer was correct

Will China execute an acknowledged national military attack against Vietnam, India, or Taiwan in the next six months?

As of May 9, 2022 06:16AM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
 4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Aug 17, 2022 11:00AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Apr 09, 2022 06:16AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect
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