Confirmed previous forecast
0.126791
Relative Brier Score
17
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 195 | 17 | 337 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 49 | 15 | 80 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 34 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
By 31 December 2024, will Microsoft announce that its AI Research Lab in China is closing or being relocated?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
3%
(0%)
Yes
97%
(0%)
No
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
3%
(0%)
Yes
97%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
7%
(0%)
Yes
93%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Mar 1, 2024 03:12AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
24%
(0%)
Yes
Feb 1, 2024 to Aug 1, 2024
76%
(0%)
No
Feb 1, 2024 to Aug 1, 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
15%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
2023 Q2
0%
(0%)
2023 Q3
0%
(0%)
2023 Q4
3%
(0%)
2024 Q1
5%
(0%)
2024 Q2
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Kuwait
0%
(0%)
Oman
0%
(0%)
Qatar
0%
(0%)
Saudi Arabia
0%
(0%)
Tunisia
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Feb 1, 2024 to Aug 1, 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
15%
(0%)
S-400 or S-500 missile system
10%
(0%)
Su-35 fighter jets
Confirmed previous forecast
Files