Confirmed previous forecast
5.24781
Relative Brier Score
337
Forecasts
34
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 172 | 17 | 337 |
Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 46 | 15 | 80 |
Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 34 |
Definitions |
Most Active Topics:
Mission: Diplomacy,
Decoding Disinformation,
Iran Nuclear Program,
Semiconductor Supply Chain,
Future Bowl
New Prediction
By 31 December 2024, will Microsoft announce that its AI Research Lab in China is closing or being relocated?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
3%
(0%)
Yes
97%
(0%)
No
Files
New Badge
Active Forecaster
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
3%
(0%)
Yes
97%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
7%
(0%)
Yes
93%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Mar 1, 2024 03:12AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
24%
(0%)
Yes
Feb 1, 2024 to Aug 1, 2024
76%
(0%)
No
Feb 1, 2024 to Aug 1, 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
15%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
2023 Q2
0%
(0%)
2023 Q3
0%
(0%)
2023 Q4
3%
(0%)
2024 Q1
5%
(0%)
2024 Q2
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Kuwait
0%
(0%)
Oman
0%
(0%)
Qatar
0%
(0%)
Saudi Arabia
0%
(0%)
Tunisia
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on May 1, 2024 03:11AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Feb 1, 2024 to Aug 1, 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
15%
(0%)
S-400 or S-500 missile system
10%
(0%)
Su-35 fighter jets
Confirmed previous forecast
Files