INFER Public

How will the combined annual revenue of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft change over the next three years?

Question Ends:
Aug 24, 2022 11:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 16, 2022 06:47AM UTC
(2 years ago)

Which company will be the largest semiconductor company by sales revenue in 2022?

Question Ends:
Nov 01, 2022 04:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 27, 2022 04:12PM UTC
(1 year ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Intel	6%	16%	-10%	-3%
Samsung	46%	53%	-7%	-8%
TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company)	48%	30%	+18%	+11%
Other	0%	0%	+0%	+0%

What percentage of the world's AI patents will be granted in China in 2022?

Forecast Count:
10 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 20, 2022 09:41AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Less than 5%	10%	5%	+5%	+1%
More than or equal to 5% but less than 7%	79%	73%	+6%	+5%
More than or equal to 7%	11%	22%	-11%	-6%

What percentage of the world's AI patents will be granted in the United States in 2022?

Forecast Count:
10 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 20, 2022 09:41AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Less than 40%	51%	51%	+0%	-4%
More than or equal to 40% but less than 50%	41%	38%	+3%	+0%
More than or equal to 50% but less than 60%	7%	10%	-3%	+4%
More than or equal to 60%	1%	1%	0%	+0%

What percentage of the world's AI patents will be granted in the European Union and United Kingdom in 2022?

Forecast Count:
9 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 20, 2022 09:51AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Less than 7%	39%	43%	-4%	+1%
More than or equal to 7% but less than 10%	56%	53%	+3%	-1%
More than or equal to 10%	5%	4%	+1%	+0%

How will annual money raised by U.S. tech startups change over the next three years?

Forecast Count:
12 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 25, 2022 04:58PM UTC
(1 year ago)

What will be the price of the Dutch TTF futures monthly contracts between March 2022 and February 2023?

You quit this question on Jan 10, 2023 10:56AM and have no active forecasts. You won't receive scores for days you quit.

Forecast Count:
20 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Mar 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 01, 2023 04:31PM UTC
(1 year ago)

Will Imran Khan be re-elected as prime minister following Pakistan’s upcoming general election?

Forecast Count:
11 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Feb 09, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(3 months ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 20, 2024 03:41PM UTC
(4 months ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes	0%	0%	+0%	+0%

Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months?

As of Apr 25, 2024 07:59PM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.

Forecast Count:
22 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(2 months ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 25, 2024 07:59PM UTC
(2 months ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Forecast Window	Forecast Expiration	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes	0%	Mar 25, 2024 to Sep 25, 2024	Apr 25, 2024	1%	-1%	+0%

Will the Global Protest Tracker record a significant antigovernment protest involving 10,000 or more participants in Thailand between April 2023 and April 2024?

Forecast Count:
20 Forecasts

Question Ends:
May 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(19 days ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 24, 2024 01:55PM UTC
(25 days ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes	0%	0%	+0%	+0%

Paul_Rowan

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