40th
Accuracy Rank

Revmag

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Forecasts

0

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
 

Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 6 32 584 114 888
Comments 0 0 3 0 19
Questions Forecasted 6 32 95 40 157
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 1 21 3 25
 Definitions
New Prediction
Revmag
made their 2nd forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
20% (+16%)
Yes
Apr 26, 2024 to Oct 26, 2024
80% (-16%)
No
Apr 26, 2024 to Oct 26, 2024

They might want to demonstrate their military might, and with the recent situation in Iran, things might escalate further. Iran-Isreal relations are a bit scrappy now, so they

might not want to involve more entropy here. The odds are comparatively higher than the previous ones, and Isreal demonstrates that it can happen, but the question again is, is this

the best strategic thing it can do, and shift focus?

Files
New Prediction
Revmag
made their 2nd forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
31% (+25%)
Yes
Apr 26, 2024 to Apr 26, 2025
69% (-25%)
No
Apr 26, 2024 to Apr 26, 2025

They might want to demonstrate their military might, and with the recent situation in Iran, things might escalate further. Iran-Isreal relations are a bit scrappy now, so they

might not want to involve more entropy here. The odds are comparatively higher than the previous ones, and Isreal demonstrates that it can happen, but the question again is, is this

the best strategic thing it can do, and shift focus?

Files
New Prediction
Revmag
made their 2nd forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0% (0%)
Yes
Apr 26, 2024 to Oct 26, 2024
100% (0%)
No
Apr 26, 2024 to Oct 26, 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Revmag
made their 4th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
0% (0%)
Yes
100% (0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Revmag
made their 2nd forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
5% (0%)
Yes
Apr 26, 2024 to May 26, 2024
95% (0%)
No
Apr 26, 2024 to May 26, 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Revmag
made their 2nd forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
5% (0%)
Yes
Apr 26, 2024 to Apr 26, 2025
95% (0%)
No
Apr 26, 2024 to Apr 26, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction

Rejection by Hamas + recent attacks, less chance of this happening

Files
New Prediction

Bit ambiguous, but passage of time indicates this, though this is bound to happen in the future, but <2 months seem a bit less

Files
New Prediction
Revmag
made their 7th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
22% (+20%)
Yes
Apr 16, 2024 to Oct 16, 2024

After the attack, it might so happen, and Israel too have stated that they will seek revenge in light of recent events

Files
New Prediction
Revmag
made their 11th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
76% (+6%)
Less than or equal to 49
24% (-6%)
Between 50 and 99, inclusive
0% (0%)
Between 100 and 149, inclusive
0% (0%)
Between 150 and 199, inclusive
0% (0%)
More than or equal to 200

Updating due to the passage of time

Files
Files
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