SOUZACaio

It is more than clear that Maduro will remain on power, even despite the sanctions and international reprimand. He already comes paying this price for more than five years as well as no actor in the country shows sufficient power to ignite a social uprising against him. Moreover, democratically any candidate will not impose a defeat to Maduro, due his repression and manipulation of electoral system, and will not happen an international intervention in the country.

Therefore, if through elections no one will take out Maduro from presidency, by uprising is not likely. The opposition that has capacity to do this already was stigmatized, the Venezuelan army is in favor of Maduro, and, unfortunately, the Venezuelan people will remain live under economic sanctions imposed by the United States and other Western countries due Maduro drive of electoral process.

For now, is very plausible that an attack of this type happens. The conflicts between Israel and Hamas, which is considered an Iranian proxy militia, the hostilities against Hezbollah, another Iranian proxy (perhaps one of the most important), and Houthi group's actions or from other rebel group are capable reasons to ignite another scalation of conflicts between Israel and Iran that could ignite an episode like this. 

Recently the world saw how an attack against members of the Revolutionary Guard Corp from Iran developed unprecedent attacks against Israeli soil by Iran, as well as serious attacks Israelis against Iranian targets. Moreover, is more than proved that Israel can perform an attack against the Persian nation, and how Iran can respond this kind of provocation through limited sources. So, in the desperate Netanyahu's behavior to prolong the war to maintain himself on power, another attack of this type can happen at any time to remain the ongoing scenario of fear that just benefits him.

Russia will try to unfreeze this war in the next seasons. For months it is frozen without any significative advances by both sides.

Obviously, it will not try to attack with boots on the ground Ukraine's capital, due the incapacity and the quantity of equipment demanded by an operation of this type. But will reopen the fronts in Odesa, Kharkiv or in two cities at the same time because its troops already are near of these regions as well as the conquer of them means part of the victory in this war for Russians, which Putin will use this internally, of course.

Therefore, trying to enjoy the difficulties that Ukraine is facing nowadays, the aggressor country will do this in the next months. Then, the probability is not so high because Russia is also facing some difficulties, mainly on recruitment and infantry battles, that is, the last conflicts were an actual meat grinder.

Iran recognizes precisely its capacities. The country is situated in a place full of hostilities and possible conflicts events. It also knows that its neighbors have alliances with much of its enemies. Moreover, Saudi Arabia, Jordan, Isarel or other State are not easy enemies in a possible scalation of conflicts, as well as in several countries around it has Iranian proxies. Then, is unlikely that the Persian nation declare war against another, whether this action would bring disastrous consequences for itself, and would be completely useless, just a lose-lose scenario.

The Hamas strategy for beyond the attack Israeli soil and people is successful. The world, mainly the Arabic countries are seeing who Israel is actually, as well as any kind of negotiations of this type is frozen. Moreover, Netanyahu is fueling this kind of behavior through his warfare actions. Hence, meanwhile it remains and the Israeli attacks against Palestinians exist, no normalization of relations, neither conversation related to this will happen. 

Albeit the existence of conversations related to a prolonged ceasse-fire was actual in the recent past, since the de facto involvement of Houthis in the supposedly war between Hamas and Israel, they are frozen. Moreover, until the clear Houthi support to Hamas and its actions in the Red Sea carry on, no agreement or even conversation will happen.

Obviously, the rebel group plans to do this. Nonetheless, since the last seventh October, the Israeli people as well as Israeli vessels, are avoiding the transit through the Red Sea; even if it would occur, the Israeli military would guarantee the safeness of the ship. Therefore, an attack of this kind is unlikely to happen in the next months. 

The Iranian repression against women backed to increase in recent months. Jointly with the worst economic situation that the country is facing for more than eight years it can ignite social unrest among its population.

However, due also the power of this repression as well as the image that the Persian nation incentives as a warrior against Satan one and Satan two, Israel which recently attacked both Iranian personalities as soil, the demonstrations will remain frozen for more time.