Confirmed previous forecast
-0.04448
Relative Brier Score
169
Forecasts
7
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 6 | 27 | 557 | 104 | 971 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 15 |
| Questions Forecasted | 6 | 12 | 47 | 17 | 75 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 30 | 3 | 60 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
Will a North American testing center (OTIC) issue an O-RAN Certificate between 1 April 2024 and 31 March 2025?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
50%
(0%)
Yes
50%
(0%)
No
Show more
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
75%
(0%)
Yes
25%
(0%)
No
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
3%
(0%)
Yes
97%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
55%
(+30%)
Kharkiv
1%
(+1%)
Kyiv
2%
(+1%)
Odesa
Increasing on Kharkiv due to recent events, though the resolution criteria make me somewhat uncertain.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
100%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(-1%)
Yes
100%
(+1%)
No
Only a couple weeks or so left, downgrading.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
25%
(+10%)
Kharkiv
0%
(0%)
Kyiv
1%
(0%)
Odesa
Adjusting for Kharkiv.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
15%
(-5%)
Moldova
1%
(0%)
Armenia
3%
(0%)
Georgia
1%
(0%)
Kazakhstan
Adjusting downwards for Moldova.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
99%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Estonia
1%
(0%)
Latvia
1%
(0%)
Lithuania
Confirmed previous forecast
Files