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Forecasted Questions

[Experimental] Did COVID-19 originate in a lab in Wuhan, China?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Oct 01, 2021 05:59PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 31, 2021 02:32PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 50% 35%

How politically polarized will U.S. citizens be in 2024?

Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 30, 2021 09:23PM UTC
(2 years ago)

Will Imran Khan be re-elected as prime minister following Pakistan’s upcoming general election?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Feb 09, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(3 months ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 31, 2024 05:15PM UTC
(4 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 0% 0%

Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months?

As of Apr 30, 2024 04:33PM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
9 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(2 months ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 31, 2024 04:33PM UTC
(2 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes 3% Mar 31, 2024 to Sep 30, 2024 Apr 30, 2024 1%

Will the Global Protest Tracker record a significant antigovernment protest involving 10,000 or more participants in Thailand between April 2023 and April 2024?

Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
May 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(16 days ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 30, 2024 05:50PM UTC
(17 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 0% 0%
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