Confirmed previous forecast
0.52271
Relative Brier Score
132
Forecasts
24
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 24 | 45 | 438 | 187 | 895 |
| Comments | 0 | 1 | 24 | 8 | 79 |
| Questions Forecasted | 24 | 30 | 66 | 40 | 154 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 2 | 56 | 14 | 159 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
Will the Lebanese parliament elect a president in the next six months?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
7%
(0%)
Yes
May 13, 2024 to Nov 13, 2024
93%
(0%)
No
May 13, 2024 to Nov 13, 2024
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
May 13, 2024 to Jun 13, 2024
100%
(0%)
No
May 13, 2024 to Jun 13, 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
2%
(0%)
Yes
98%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1%
(0%)
Yes
May 13, 2024 to Nov 13, 2024
99%
(0%)
No
May 13, 2024 to Nov 13, 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
100%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
May 13, 2024 to Nov 13, 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
99%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Kuwait
0%
(0%)
Oman
0%
(0%)
Qatar
0%
(0%)
Saudi Arabia
0%
(0%)
Tunisia
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
99%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
99%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files