Confirmed previous forecast
-0.403747
Relative Brier Score
161
Forecasts
13
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 55 | 413 | 161 | 869 |
| Comments | 0 | 2 | 24 | 8 | 79 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 32 | 66 | 40 | 154 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 1 | 4 | 58 | 13 | 158 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
S-400 or S-500 missile system
9%
(0%)
Su-35 fighter jets
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
7%
(0%)
Yes
Apr 21, 2024 to Oct 21, 2024
93%
(0%)
No
Apr 21, 2024 to Oct 21, 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Apr 21, 2024 to May 21, 2024
100%
(0%)
No
Apr 21, 2024 to May 21, 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
2%
(0%)
Yes
98%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1%
(0%)
Yes
Apr 21, 2024 to Oct 21, 2024
99%
(0%)
No
Apr 21, 2024 to Oct 21, 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
100%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Apr 21, 2024 to Oct 21, 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
99%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Jumping in late, but with the passing by the House, this is almost certain.