INFER Snapshot Report Archive
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Issue Reports
INFER’s Issue Reports are snapshots compiled for stakeholders interested in a topical issue that has been decomposed into a set of relevant forecast questions, which highlight the directional movement of that issue.
Geographic Reports
INFER issues regular snapshot reports to government stakeholders covering forecast trends on elections, diplomatic efforts, and other political events across the globe. The reports are published below by recency and organized by geographic region.
| Date | Report |
|---|---|
| Sep 2023 | Asia-Pacific | Europe-Eurasia | Near East (Mid-East and N. Africa) | Full report |
| Aug 2023 | Asia-Pacific | Europe-Eurasia | Near East (Mid-East and N. Africa) |
| Jul 2023 | Asia-Pacific | Europe-Eurasia | Near East (Mid-East and N. Africa) |
| Jun 2023 |
Asia-Pacific | Europe-Eurasia | Near East (Mid-East and N. Africa) |
Alert Reports
INFER issues Alert Reports for questions that have had significant movement in the consensus forecast. These reports highlight the forecast changes and explain reasons for the recent changes, including forecaster rationales and newsworthy events.
| Date | Report |
|---|---|
| Jan 2023 | Protests & Riots in Lebanon |
| Nov 2022 | China Integrated Circuit Production |
| Sep 2022 | |
| Jul 2022 | |
| May 2022 |
About INFER
INFER (INtegrated Forecasting and Estimates of Risk) uses crowdsourced forecasting to generate early warning and signals about the complex future that policy and decisionmakers must act upon. It involves an ecosystem of forecasting platforms that aggregate the diverse perspectives of a global community inside and outside the U.S. government. INFER is led by RAND with support from Cultivate Labs.
RAND is a research organization that develops solutions to public policy challenges to help make communities throughout the world safer and more secure, healthier and more prosperous. RAND is nonprofit, nonpartisan, and committed to the public interest. To learn more about RAND, visit rand.org/about.
Cultivate Labs transforms the way decisions and policies are made in private sector organizations, governments, and research institutions around the world. By using their online forecasting platform to leverage the wisdom of a diverse, informed crowd to make forecasts, Cultivate Labs gives decision makers a more accurate and un-biased view of the future, leading to more impactful and profitable decisions.