Forecasted Questions
From 1 January 2023 to 31 December 2023, how many fatalities from violence against civilians in Mexico will ACLED record?
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(4 months ago)
Jan 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(4 months ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 15, 2023 12:43PM UTC
(5 months ago)
Dec 15, 2023 12:43PM UTC
(5 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 6,000 | Answer was correct | |||
| Between 6,000 and 6,999, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
| Between 7,000 and 7,999, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
| Between 8,000 and 8,999, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than or equal to 9,000 | Answer was incorrect | |||
How many autonomous vehicle collisions will the California DMV record for October, November, and December 2023 combined?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(4 months ago)
Jan 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(4 months ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 26, 2023 02:41PM UTC
(4 months ago)
Dec 26, 2023 02:41PM UTC
(4 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than or equal to 24 | Answer was correct | |||
| Between 25 and 34, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
| Between 35 and 44, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
| Between 45 and 54, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than or equal to 55 | Answer was incorrect | |||
Will Ali Khamenei flee Iran or cease to be Supreme Leader before 1 March 2024?
Forecast Count:
10 Forecasts
10 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Mar 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(2 months ago)
Mar 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(2 months ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 23, 2024 04:54PM UTC
(2 months ago)
Feb 23, 2024 04:54PM UTC
(2 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||
Will BP or Shell resume oil shipments through the Red Sea before 31 March 2024?
Forecast Count:
8 Forecasts
8 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(1 month ago)
Apr 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(1 month ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 18, 2024 04:38PM UTC
(2 months ago)
Mar 18, 2024 04:38PM UTC
(2 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||
| No | Answer was correct | |||
What will be the highest price per barrel of Brent crude oil between 4 December 2023 and 31 March 2024?
Forecast Count:
21 Forecasts
21 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(1 month ago)
Apr 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(1 month ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 28, 2024 03:34PM UTC
(1 month ago)
Mar 28, 2024 03:34PM UTC
(1 month ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than $90 | Answer was correct | |||
| More than or equal to $90 but less than $100 | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than or equal to $100 but less than $110 | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than or equal to $110 but less than $120 | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than or equal to $120 | Answer was incorrect | |||
Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 May 2024?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
May 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(7 days ago)
May 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(7 days ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 12, 2024 05:55PM UTC
(26 days ago)
Apr 12, 2024 05:55PM UTC
(26 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||
Will Dina Boluarte cease to be president of Peru through an irregular transition before 1 May 2024?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
May 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(7 days ago)
May 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(7 days ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 12, 2024 05:56PM UTC
(26 days ago)
Apr 12, 2024 05:56PM UTC
(26 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||
Will the U.S. Congress pass a military aid package supporting Ukraine worth at least $10 billion before 1 May 2024?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
May 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(7 days ago)
May 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(7 days ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 19, 2024 05:05PM UTC
(19 days ago)
Apr 19, 2024 05:05PM UTC
(19 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was correct | |||
| No | Answer was incorrect | |||