Forecasted Questions
Will BP or Shell resume oil shipments through the Red Sea before 31 March 2024?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(2 months ago)
Apr 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(2 months ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 31, 2024 12:07AM UTC
(2 months ago)
Mar 31, 2024 12:07AM UTC
(2 months ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||
No | Answer was correct |
Will any TSMC fab in Taiwan be shut down for at least one day because of a non-scheduled emergency by 31 March 2024?
Forecast Count:
11 Forecasts
11 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Mar 31, 2024 04:00PM UTC
(2 months ago)
Mar 31, 2024 04:00PM UTC
(2 months ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 31, 2024 12:07AM UTC
(2 months ago)
Mar 31, 2024 12:07AM UTC
(2 months ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | Answer was incorrect |
What will be the highest price per barrel of Brent crude oil between 4 December 2023 and 31 March 2024?
Forecast Count:
7 Forecasts
7 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(2 months ago)
Apr 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(2 months ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 31, 2024 12:22AM UTC
(2 months ago)
Mar 31, 2024 12:22AM UTC
(2 months ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Less than $90 | Answer was correct | |||
More than or equal to $90 but less than $100 | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than or equal to $100 but less than $110 | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than or equal to $110 but less than $120 | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than or equal to $120 | Answer was incorrect |
Will Iran launch missiles targeting Israel or conduct an airstrike in Israel in the next six months?
Forecast Count:
9 Forecasts
9 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 14, 2024 08:11AM UTC
(1 month ago)
Apr 14, 2024 08:11AM UTC
(1 month ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | Answer was correct | |||||
No | Answer was incorrect |
Will there be an attack on an Iranian nuclear- or missile-related facility in the next 6 months?
Forecast Count:
10 Forecasts
10 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 21, 2024 06:28AM UTC
(29 days ago)
Apr 21, 2024 06:28AM UTC
(29 days ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | Answer was correct |
Will the U.S. Congress pass a military aid package supporting Ukraine worth at least $10 billion before 1 May 2024?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
May 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(20 days ago)
May 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(20 days ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 21, 2024 06:38AM UTC
(29 days ago)
Apr 21, 2024 06:38AM UTC
(29 days ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | Answer was correct | |||
No | Answer was incorrect |
Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 May 2024?
Forecast Count:
15 Forecasts
15 Forecasts
Question Ends:
May 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(20 days ago)
May 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(20 days ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 24, 2024 04:12PM UTC
(26 days ago)
Apr 24, 2024 04:12PM UTC
(26 days ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | Answer was incorrect |
Will Dina Boluarte cease to be president of Peru through an irregular transition before 1 May 2024?
Forecast Count:
13 Forecasts
13 Forecasts
Question Ends:
May 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(20 days ago)
May 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(20 days ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 24, 2024 04:13PM UTC
(26 days ago)
Apr 24, 2024 04:13PM UTC
(26 days ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | Answer was incorrect |