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What percentage of U.S. AI publications will have a Chinese co-author in 2021?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Apr 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Oct 27, 2020 09:40PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 15% Answer was incorrect
Between 15% and 17%, inclusive Answer was correct
More than 17% but less than or equal to 19% Answer was incorrect
More than 19% but less than or equal to 21% Answer was incorrect
More than 21% Answer was incorrect

What will the combined revenue of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft be in the first two quarters (January 1 through June 30) of 2021?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Nov 03, 2020 06:58PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than $440 billion Answer was incorrect
Between $440 billion and $490 billion, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than $490 billion but less than or equal to $540 billion Answer was incorrect
More than $540 billion but less than or equal to $590 billion Answer was incorrect
More than $590 billion Answer was correct

How many postings for U.S. jobs requiring machine learning skills will be published between January 1 and March 31, 2021, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Nov 09, 2020 05:53PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 30,000 Answer was incorrect
Between 30,000 and 38,000, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 38,000 but less than or equal to 46,000 Answer was incorrect
More than 46,000 but less than or equal to 54,000 Answer was incorrect
More than 54,000 Answer was correct

What percentage of U.S. residents will have an unfavorable view of China, as reflected in the 2021 Pew Global Attitudes Survey?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 May 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Nov 09, 2020 06:08PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 59% Answer was incorrect
Between 59% and 66%, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 66% but less than or equal to 73% Answer was incorrect
More than 73% but less than or equal to 80% Answer was correct
More than 80% Answer was incorrect

When will China officially recognize a winner of the U.S. presidential election?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Nov 25, 2020 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Nov 11, 2020 06:34PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Before November 25 Answer was correct
Between November 25 and December 22, inclusive Answer was incorrect
Between December 23 and January 20, inclusive Answer was incorrect
After January 20 Answer was incorrect

How much funding will private U.S. tech companies raise between July 1 and December 31, 2020, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Dec 07, 2020 09:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Nov 23, 2020 08:10PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than $40 billion Answer was incorrect
Between $40 billion and $60 billion, inclusive Answer was correct
More than $60 billion but less than or equal to $80 billion Answer was incorrect
More than $80 billion but less than or equal to $100 billion Answer was incorrect
More than $100 billion Answer was incorrect

How much new funding will facial recognition companies raise between July 1 and December 31, 2020, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Dec 07, 2020 09:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Nov 23, 2020 08:26PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than $200 million Answer was correct
More than $200 million but less than or equal to $500 million Answer was incorrect
Between $500 million and $800 million, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than $800 million but less than or equal to $1.1 billion Answer was incorrect
More than $1.1 billion Answer was incorrect

What percentage of O visas will go to Chinese nationals in FY 2021 (October 1, 2020 to September 30, 2021)?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Mar 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Nov 23, 2020 08:37PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 2% Answer was correct
Between 2% and 3.5%, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 3.5% but less than or equal to 5% Answer was incorrect
More than 5% but less than or equal to 6.5% Answer was incorrect
More than 6.5% Answer was incorrect

When will Ant Financial have an IPO in China or Hong Kong?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 May 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Nov 23, 2020 08:50PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Before February 17, 2021 Answer was incorrect
Between February 17 and May 19, 2021, inclusive Answer was incorrect
After May 19, but before or equal to November 17, 2021 Answer was incorrect
After November 17, 2021 Answer was correct

Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea between January 1 and June 30, 2021, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Dec 08, 2020 03:46PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect
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