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Forecasted Questions

What percentage of O visas will go to Chinese nationals in FY 2021 (October 1, 2020 to September 30, 2021)?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Mar 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 20, 2020 11:11AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 2% Answer was correct
Between 2% and 3.5%, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 3.5% but less than or equal to 5% Answer was incorrect
More than 5% but less than or equal to 6.5% Answer was incorrect
More than 6.5% Answer was incorrect

What percentage of U.S. residents will have an unfavorable view of China, as reflected in the 2021 Pew Global Attitudes Survey?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
May 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 20, 2020 11:16AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 59% Answer was incorrect
Between 59% and 66%, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 66% but less than or equal to 73% Answer was incorrect
More than 73% but less than or equal to 80% Answer was correct
More than 80% Answer was incorrect

What will be the value, in dollars, of all Chinese imports of semiconductor manufacturing equipment in 2021?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Mar 01, 2021 05:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 20, 2020 11:56AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than $20 billion Answer was incorrect
More than $20 billion but less than or equal to $30 billion Answer was incorrect
Between $30 billion and $40 billion, inclusive Answer was incorrect
Between $40 billion and $50 billion, inclusive Answer was correct
More than $50 billion Answer was incorrect

How many of the top chipmakers in China will be subject to new export controls in 2021?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 24, 2021 02:35PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Zero Answer was correct
One Answer was incorrect
Two or more Answer was incorrect

What percentage of U.S. residents will have an unfavorable view of China, as reflected in the 2022 Pew Global Attitudes Survey?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Aug 27, 2021 05:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 24, 2021 02:56PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 59% Answer was incorrect
Between 59% and 66%, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 66% but less than or equal to 73% Answer was incorrect
More than 73% but less than or equal to 80% Answer was incorrect
More than 80% Answer was correct

What percentage of U.S. AI publications will have a Chinese co-author in 2021?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 24, 2021 03:03PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 15% Answer was incorrect
Between 15% and 17%, inclusive Answer was correct
More than 17% but less than or equal to 19% Answer was incorrect
More than 19% but less than or equal to 21% Answer was incorrect
More than 21% Answer was incorrect

What will be the opening price of GameStop stock on Tuesday, February 16?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Feb 16, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 11, 2021 10:25PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than $20 Answer was incorrect
Between $20 and $100, inclusive Answer was correct
More than $100 but less than or equal to $300 Answer was incorrect
More than $300 but less than or equal to $500 Answer was incorrect
More than $500 but less than or equal to $1000 Answer was incorrect
More than $1000 Answer was incorrect

How much funding will U.S. tech startups raise between July 1 and December 31, 2021, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 11, 2021 10:30PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than $13 billion Answer was incorrect
Between $13 billion and $17 billion, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than $17 billion but less than or equal to $21 billion Answer was incorrect
More than $21 billion but less than or equal to $25 billion Answer was incorrect
More than $25 billion Answer was correct

What will the combined revenue of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft be in the second half of 2021?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 04, 2021 09:17AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than $470 billion Answer was incorrect
Between $470 billion and $540 billion, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than $540 billion but less than or equal to $610 billion Answer was incorrect
More than $610 billion but less than or equal to $680 billion Answer was incorrect
More than $680 billion Answer was correct

How much funding will private U.S. tech companies raise between July 1 and December 31, 2021, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 05, 2021 10:06PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than $40 billion Answer was incorrect
Between $40 billion and $60 billion, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than $60 billion but less than or equal to $80 billion Answer was incorrect
More than $80 billion but less than or equal to $100 billion Answer was incorrect
More than $100 billion Answer was correct
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