Forecasted Questions
What percentage of U.S. residents will have an unfavorable view of China, as reflected in the 2021 Pew Global Attitudes Survey?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
May 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
May 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 13, 2021 10:06PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Jan 13, 2021 10:06PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Less than 59% | Answer was incorrect | |||
Between 59% and 66%, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than 66% but less than or equal to 73% | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than 73% but less than or equal to 80% | Answer was correct | |||
More than 80% | Answer was incorrect |
What percentage of U.S. residents will have an unfavorable view of China, as reflected in the 2022 Pew Global Attitudes Survey?
Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts
6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Aug 27, 2021 05:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Aug 27, 2021 05:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 19, 2021 06:23PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Aug 19, 2021 06:23PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Less than 59% | Answer was incorrect | |||
Between 59% and 66%, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than 66% but less than or equal to 73% | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than 73% but less than or equal to 80% | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than 80% | Answer was correct |
What will the 'Big 5' (Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft) tech companies' average reputation ranking be in the 2022 Axios Harris poll?
Forecast Count:
9 Forecasts
9 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Feb 28, 2022 11:59PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Feb 28, 2022 11:59PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 31, 2022 05:28PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Jan 31, 2022 05:28PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Less than 30 (good reputation) | Answer was incorrect | |||
Between 30 and 40, inclusive | Answer was correct | |||
More than 40 but less than or equal to 50 | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than 50 but less than or equal to 60 | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than 60 (bad reputation) | Answer was incorrect |
Will Russia invade Ukraine by December 31, 2022?
Forecast Count:
7 Forecasts
7 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Dec 31, 2022 11:59PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Dec 31, 2022 11:59PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 24, 2022 05:08PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Feb 24, 2022 05:08PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | Answer was correct |
When will 1 billion people in India receive at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine?
Forecast Count:
17 Forecasts
17 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Oct 01, 2022 12:00PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Oct 01, 2022 12:00PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 27, 2022 11:14PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Apr 27, 2022 11:14PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Before January 1, 2022 | Answer was incorrect | |||
Between January 1, 2022, and March 31, 2022 | Answer was incorrect | |||
Between April 1, 2022 and June 30, 2022 | Answer was correct | |||
Between July 1, 2022 and September 30, 2022 | Answer was incorrect | |||
Not before October 1, 2022 | Answer was incorrect |
Will the United States have the world's fastest supercomputer in June 2022?
Forecast Count:
10 Forecasts
10 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jul 15, 2022 03:47PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Jul 15, 2022 03:47PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
May 27, 2022 06:19PM UTC
(2 years ago)
May 27, 2022 06:19PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | Answer was correct |
Will Tether (USDT) trade below $0.95 at any time before 1 July 2022?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Jul 01, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 17, 2022 05:17PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Jun 17, 2022 05:17PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | Answer was incorrect |
How many autonomous vehicle collisions will the California DMV record for June 2022?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Jul 01, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 17, 2022 05:23PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Jun 17, 2022 05:23PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Less than 5 | Answer was incorrect | |||
Between 5 and 9, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
Between 10 and 14, inclusive | Answer was correct | |||
Between 15 and 19, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than or equal to 20 | Answer was incorrect |
Will China execute an acknowledged national military attack against Vietnam, India, or Taiwan in the next six months?
As of Aug 22, 2022 02:36PM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
10 Forecasts
10 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Aug 17, 2022 11:00AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Aug 17, 2022 11:00AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 22, 2022 02:36PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Jul 22, 2022 02:36PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | Answer was incorrect |
Will the U.S. Senate vote on the American Innovation and Choice Online Act before 30 July 2022?
Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts
6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jul 30, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Jul 30, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 29, 2022 01:50PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Jul 29, 2022 01:50PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes, and it will pass | Answer was incorrect | |||
Yes, and it will not pass | Answer was incorrect | |||
No | Answer was correct |