Forecasted Questions
How politically polarized will U.S. citizens be in 2024?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Jan 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 23, 2021 05:54PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Dec 23, 2021 05:54PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Which tech company will be the first to reach a market cap of $5 trillion?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Feb 28, 2022 01:34PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Feb 28, 2022 01:34PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 18, 2022 07:05PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Feb 18, 2022 07:05PM UTC
(2 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apple | 10% | 48% | -38% | +11% |
| Microsoft | 5% | 22% | -17% | +3% |
| Alphabet (Google) | 50% | 13% | +37% | -3% |
| Amazon | 20% | 10% | +10% | -5% |
| Tesla | 0% | 3% | -3% | -3% |
| Meta (Facebook) | 5% | 1% | +4% | -3% |
| Other | 10% | 2% | +8% | -1% |
How will the percentage of U.S residents who are concerned about how the government uses their data change over the next three years?
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2022 11:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Apr 01, 2022 11:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 20, 2022 09:43PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Mar 20, 2022 09:43PM UTC
(2 years ago)
How will the number of Defense Innovation Unit transitions change over the next three years?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 02, 2022 11:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Apr 02, 2022 11:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 21, 2022 03:31AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Mar 21, 2022 03:31AM UTC
(2 years ago)
How will the percentage of SMIC revenue from 28 nm chips or smaller change over the next three years?
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2022 11:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Apr 01, 2022 11:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 23, 2022 09:23PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Mar 23, 2022 09:23PM UTC
(2 years ago)
How will the number of Japanese Air Force responses to threats to Japan's territorial airspace by Chinese military aircraft change over the next three years?
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 15, 2022 11:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Apr 15, 2022 11:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 07, 2022 08:58PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Apr 07, 2022 08:58PM UTC
(2 years ago)
How will the combined annual revenue of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft change over the next three years?
Forecast Count:
7 Forecasts
7 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Aug 24, 2022 11:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Aug 24, 2022 11:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 27, 2022 09:17PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Jul 27, 2022 09:17PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Which company will be the largest semiconductor company by sales revenue in 2022?
Forecast Count:
8 Forecasts
8 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Nov 01, 2022 04:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Nov 01, 2022 04:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 28, 2022 03:05PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Oct 28, 2022 03:05PM UTC
(1 year ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intel | 60% | 16% | +44% | -1% |
| Samsung | 5% | 53% | -48% | -3% |
| TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company) | 30% | 30% | +0% | +4% |
| Other | 5% | 0% | +5% | +0% |
Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months?
As of Apr 1, 2024 11:14PM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
11 Forecasts
11 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(2 months ago)
Apr 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(2 months ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 01, 2024 11:14PM UTC
(3 months ago)
Mar 01, 2024 11:14PM UTC
(3 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | Mar 1, 2024 to Sep 1, 2024 | Apr 1, 2024 | 1% | -1% | +0% |