INFER Public

What will the 'Big 5' (Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft) tech companies' average reputation ranking be in the 2022 Axios Harris poll?

Question Ends:
Feb 28, 2022 11:59PM UTC
(2 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 19, 2022 01:25PM UTC
(2 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Less than 30 (good reputation)		Answer was incorrect
Between 30 and 40, inclusive		Answer was correct
More than 40 but less than or equal to 50		Answer was incorrect
More than 50 but less than or equal to 60		Answer was incorrect
More than 60 (bad reputation)		Answer was incorrect

When will 1 billion people in India receive at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine?

Forecast Count:
5 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Oct 01, 2022 12:00PM UTC
(1 year ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 24, 2022 05:38PM UTC
(2 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Before January 1, 2022		Answer was incorrect
Between January 1, 2022, and March 31, 2022		Answer was incorrect
Between April 1, 2022 and June 30, 2022		Answer was correct
Between July 1, 2022 and September 30, 2022		Answer was incorrect
Not before October 1, 2022		Answer was incorrect

What will be the end of day closing price of the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) on 6 May 2022?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast

Question Ends:
May 06, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 27, 2022 04:53PM UTC
(2 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Less than $240		Answer was correct
More than or equal to $240 but less than $260		Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to $260 but less than $280		Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to $280 but less than $300		Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to $300		Answer was incorrect

What will be the price per ton of aluminum on 1 June 2022?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast

Question Ends:
Jun 01, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
May 29, 2022 12:43PM UTC
(2 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Less than $3000		Answer was correct
More than or equal to $3000 but less than $3500		Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to $3500 but less than $4000		Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to $4000		Answer was incorrect

Will the United States have the world's fastest supercomputer in June 2022?

Forecast Count:
9 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Jul 15, 2022 03:47PM UTC
(2 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
May 29, 2022 12:49PM UTC
(2 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes		Answer was correct

In the next six months, will U.S. and China announce the establishment of an ongoing bilateral dialog mechanism that includes discussions of emerging technologies?

As of Jul 11, 2022 09:19AM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.

Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Jun 29, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 11, 2022 09:19AM UTC
(2 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Forecast Window	Forecast Expiration	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes		Answer was incorrect

On 30 June 2022, how much funding will Crunchbase’s “Hub for Artificial Intelligence Companies Founded in the Last Year” report that those companies have raised?

Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Jun 30, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 19, 2022 11:19AM UTC
(2 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Less than or equal to 200 million		Answer was incorrect
More than 200 million but less than 250 million		Answer was incorrect
Between 250 million and 300 million, inclusive		Answer was incorrect
More than 300 million		Answer was correct

By 30 June 2022, will a date be announced for a Mobileye IPO?

Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Jun 30, 2022 03:59PM UTC
(2 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 19, 2022 11:20AM UTC
(2 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes		Answer was incorrect

How many tech startup layoff events will be recorded in July 2022?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast

Question Ends:
Aug 01, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 03, 2022 12:11PM UTC
(2 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Less than or equal to 74		Answer was incorrect
Between 75 and 99, inclusive		Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to 100		Answer was correct

Will the Council of the European Union announce sanctions on the provision of cloud services to Russia before 31 July 2022?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast

Question Ends:
Jul 31, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 10, 2022 09:26AM UTC
(2 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes		Answer was incorrect

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