Forecasted Questions
Which tech company will be the first to reach a market cap of $5 trillion?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Feb 28, 2022 01:34PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Feb 28, 2022 01:34PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 24, 2022 04:23PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Feb 24, 2022 04:23PM UTC
(2 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apple | 30% | 48% | -18% | +9% |
| Microsoft | 25% | 22% | +3% | +3% |
| Alphabet (Google) | 15% | 13% | +2% | -3% |
| Amazon | 10% | 10% | +0% | -4% |
| Tesla | 12% | 3% | +9% | -2% |
| Meta (Facebook) | 2% | 1% | +1% | -2% |
| Other | 6% | 2% | +4% | -1% |
How will the percentage of SMIC revenue from 28 nm chips or smaller change over the next three years?
Forecast Count:
7 Forecasts
7 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2022 11:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Apr 01, 2022 11:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 25, 2022 02:50PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Mar 25, 2022 02:50PM UTC
(2 years ago)
How will the number of Defense Innovation Unit transitions change over the next three years?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 02, 2022 11:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Apr 02, 2022 11:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 26, 2022 01:46PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Mar 26, 2022 01:46PM UTC
(2 years ago)
How will the percentage of U.S residents who are concerned about how the government uses their data change over the next three years?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2022 11:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Apr 01, 2022 11:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 29, 2022 02:54AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Mar 29, 2022 02:54AM UTC
(2 years ago)
How will the number of Japanese Air Force responses to threats to Japan's territorial airspace by Chinese military aircraft change over the next three years?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 15, 2022 11:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Apr 15, 2022 11:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 12, 2022 08:18PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Apr 12, 2022 08:18PM UTC
(2 years ago)
How will the combined annual revenue of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft change over the next three years?
Forecast Count:
15 Forecasts
15 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Aug 24, 2022 11:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Aug 24, 2022 11:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 24, 2022 02:43AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Aug 24, 2022 02:43AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Which company will be the largest semiconductor company by sales revenue in 2022?
Forecast Count:
12 Forecasts
12 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Nov 01, 2022 04:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Nov 01, 2022 04:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 25, 2022 05:45PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Oct 25, 2022 05:45PM UTC
(1 year ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intel | 15% | 16% | -1% | -6% |
| Samsung | 42% | 53% | -11% | -12% |
| TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company) | 43% | 30% | +13% | +17% |
| Other | 0% | 0% | +0% | +0% |
What percentage of the world's AI patents will be granted in China in 2022?
Forecast Count:
5 Forecasts
5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 13, 2022 03:16PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Dec 13, 2022 03:16PM UTC
(1 year ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 5% | 11% | 5% | +6% | +0% |
| More than or equal to 5% but less than 7% | 76% | 73% | +3% | +4% |
| More than or equal to 7% | 13% | 22% | -9% | -5% |
How will annual money raised by U.S. tech startups change over the next three years?
Forecast Count:
24 Forecasts
24 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 16, 2022 01:45AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Dec 16, 2022 01:45AM UTC
(1 year ago)
What will be the price of the Dutch TTF futures monthly contracts between March 2022 and February 2023?
Forecast Count:
93 Forecasts
93 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Mar 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Mar 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 25, 2023 12:38PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Feb 25, 2023 12:38PM UTC
(1 year ago)