Confirmed previous forecast
-0.38335
Relative Brier Score
141
Forecasts
7
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 13 | 30 | 464 | 115 | 787 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| Questions Forecasted | 13 | 14 | 46 | 20 | 71 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 61 | 9 | 90 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Badge
Power Forecaster - Apr 2024
Earned for making 20+ forecasts in a month.
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
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Estonia
0%
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Latvia
0%
(0%)
Lithuania
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
99%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
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Answer
0%
(0%)
Kuwait
0%
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Oman
0%
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Qatar
0%
(0%)
Saudi Arabia
0%
(0%)
Tunisia
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
(0%)
S-400 or S-500 missile system
5%
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Su-35 fighter jets
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
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Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
70%
(0%)
Yes
30%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
100%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Recent unfreezing of support by US should be enough to keep risk of major offensive away . Of listed cities Kharkiv seems most vulnerable.