Confirmed previous forecast
-0.014418
Relative Brier Score
29
Forecasts
1
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 1 | 12 | 159 | 29 | 504 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 48 |
| Questions Forecasted | 1 | 11 | 30 | 13 | 98 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 64 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
4%
(0%)
Yes
96%
(0%)
No
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
57%
(0%)
Yes
43%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
8%
(0%)
Yes
92%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
3%
(0%)
Yes
97%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
10%
(0%)
Yes
Apr 20, 2024 to Oct 20, 2024
90%
(0%)
No
Apr 20, 2024 to Oct 20, 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
99%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
3%
(+2%)
Yes
Apr 20, 2024 to Oct 20, 2024
97%
(-2%)
No
Apr 20, 2024 to Oct 20, 2024
Moving up with conflict, but the US seems to want to stay out of this one
Files
No time.