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Forecasted Questions

How many postings for U.S. jobs requiring machine learning skills will be published between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Oct 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 05, 2020 04:19PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 20,000 Answer was incorrect
Between 20,000 and 35,000, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 35,000 but less than or equal to 50,000 Answer was correct
More than 50,000 but less than or equal to 65,000 Answer was incorrect
More than 65,000 Answer was incorrect

Will the Chinese People's Liberation Army invade Taiwan by May 31, 2021?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Nov 11, 2020 04:52PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 05, 2020 04:23PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

What percentage of U.S. news articles about AI will be about privacy and security between June 15 and August 15, 2020, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Aug 16, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 10, 2020 07:58PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 0.5% Answer was incorrect
Between 0.5% and 1.0%, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 1.0% but less than or equal to 1.5% Answer was correct
More than 1.5% Answer was incorrect

Will the Chinese government add Apple, Qualcomm, Cisco, or Boeing to its 'unreliable entities list' by August 10, 2020?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Aug 11, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 18, 2020 05:13PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will either China or India respond to the events in Aksai Chin on June 15, 2020 by launching an airstrike, missile attack, or using another form of lethal force by June 28, 2020?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jun 29, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 18, 2020 05:15PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

How much will the U.S. Department of Defense spend on AI grants between July 1 and December 31, 2020, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Dec 07, 2020 09:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 18, 2020 05:24PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than $30 million Answer was incorrect
Between $30 million and $70 million, inclusive Answer was correct
More than $70 million but less than or equal to $110 million Answer was incorrect
More than $110 million but less than or equal to $150 million Answer was incorrect
More than $150 million Answer was incorrect

How many new H-1B visa applications submitted by the "Big 5" tech companies will the U.S. grant between October 1, 2020 and September 30, 2021, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Feb 25, 2021 06:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 22, 2020 02:37PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 5,000 Answer was incorrect
Between 5,000 and 7,500, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 7,500 but less than or equal to 10,000 Answer was incorrect
More than 10,000 but less than or equal to12,500 Answer was correct
More than12,500 Answer was incorrect

Will the Indian government continue the TikTok ban through July 14, 2020?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jul 15, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 02, 2020 06:42PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was correct

Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea by September 30, 2020?

Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Oct 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 02, 2020 06:51PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will the U.S. government cancel or shorten the 24-month STEM extension to the Optional Practical Training program by July 17, 2020?

Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jul 18, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 07, 2020 05:40PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect
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