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Question
Crowd Forecast
Will the EU import at least 15 billion cubic meters of natural gas from Russia in any quarter of 2025?
Closing
Jan 1, 2026 05:00AM
·
76
·
207
1%
Chance
Will at least one European country or the European Union (EU) collectively commit to providing Ukraine with HIMARS-compatible rocket artillery systems or functional substitutes by 31 December 2025?
Closing
Jan 1, 2026 05:00AM
·
55
·
159
62%
Chance
How much more military aid will European countries allocate to Ukraine compared to the U.S. between 24 January 2022 and 31 December 2025?
Closing
Jan 1, 2026 05:00AM
·
27
·
92
0
0
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
0.25
0.3
0.35
0.4
0.45
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1
Will the European “Coalition of the Willing” deploy forces to Ukraine in 2025?
Closing
Jan 1, 2026 05:00AM
·
88
·
243
1%
Chance
If a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict goes into effect in 2025, how long will it last?
Closing
Jan 1, 2026 05:00AM
·
127
·
499
0
0
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
0.25
0.3
0.35
0.4
0.45
0.5
0.55
0.6
0.65
0.7
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1
When will a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict first go into effect?
Closing
Jan 1, 2026 05:00AM
·
88
·
402
0
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1
How many German-language disinformation cases originating in pro-Kremlin media will there be between 1 October 2024 and 30 September 2025?
Closing
Oct 1, 2025 04:00AM
·
109
·
640
0
0
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
0.25
0.3
0.35
0.4
0.45
0.5
0.55
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1
In the next 18 months, will a Russian government cyber attack occur against energy or transportation infrastructure within a NATO country that produces a kinetic effect, causing physical damage or human casualties?
Closing
Jan 1, 2026 05:00AM
·
127
·
686
6%
Chance
What will be the risk index score for the perceived threat posed by Russia to Germany in the 2026 Munich Security Report?
Closing
Oct 1, 2025 04:00AM
·
61
·
513
0
-0.05
0
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
0.25
0.3
0.35
0.4
0.45
0.5
0.55
0.6
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1
What will be Germany’s net perception of Ukraine in the 2026 Munich Security Report?
Closing
Oct 1, 2025 04:00AM
·
60
·
481
0
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1
1
2
Next ›
Last »
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Code
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😂
:joy:
😘
:kissing_heart:
❤️
:heart:
😍
:heart_eyes:
😊
:blush:
😁
:grin:
👍
:+1:
☺️
:relaxed:
😔
:pensive:
😄
:smile:
😭
:sob:
💋
:kiss:
😒
:unamused:
😳
:flushed:
😜
:stuck_out_tongue_winking_eye:
🙈
:see_no_evil:
😉
:wink:
😃
:smiley:
😢
:cry:
😝
:stuck_out_tongue_closed_eyes:
😱
:scream:
😡
:rage:
😏
:smirk:
😞
:disappointed:
😅
:sweat_smile:
😚
:kissing_closed_eyes:
🙊
:speak_no_evil:
😌
:relieved:
😀
:grinning:
😋
:yum:
👌
:ok_hand:
😐
:neutral_face:
😕
:confused:
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