Status

Type

Season

Sort By

Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea in the next six months?

3%

Chance
192 Forecasters • 850 Forecasts
Started Sep 01, 2021 11:00AM UTC
Closing Sep 01, 2022 11:00AM UTC

How will the combined annual revenue of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft change over the next three years?

Make Forecast
102 Forecasters • 498 Forecasts
Started Aug 24, 2021 01:35PM UTC
Closing Aug 24, 2022 11:00AM UTC

How will annual money raised by U.S. tech startups change over the next three years?

Make Forecast
74 Forecasters • 368 Forecasts
Started Aug 24, 2021 01:30PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC

Will China execute an acknowledged national military attack against Vietnam, India, or Taiwan in the next six months?

4%

Chance
181 Forecasters • 896 Forecasts
Started Aug 01, 2021 11:00AM UTC
Closing Aug 17, 2022 11:00AM UTC

Will China seize control of any Taiwanese-occupied feature in the South China Sea in the next six months?

4%

Chance
133 Forecasters • 742 Forecasts
Started Aug 01, 2021 11:00AM UTC
Closing Aug 17, 2022 11:00AM UTC

What will be the value, in dollars, of U.S. exports of semiconductor manufacturing equipment to China in 2022?

75 Forecasters • 459 Forecasts
Started Apr 20, 2021 12:20PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than $5 billion
2%
More than $5 billion but less than or equal to $6 billion
15%
Between $6 billion and $7 billion, inclusive
42%
Between $7 billion and $8 billion, inclusive
29%
More than $8 billion
11%

What will be the value, in dollars, of all Chinese imports of semiconductor chips in 2022?

61 Forecasters • 446 Forecasts
Started Apr 20, 2021 12:20PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than $320 billion
1%
More than $320 billion but less than or equal to $350 billion
6%
Between $350 billion and $380 billion, inclusive
22%
Between $380 billion and $410 billion, inclusive
36%
More than $410 billion
34%

What will be the value, in dollars, of all Chinese imports of semiconductor manufacturing equipment in 2022?

57 Forecasters • 402 Forecasts
Started Apr 20, 2021 12:20PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than $25 billion
1%
More than $25 billion but less than or equal to $35 billion
18%
Between $35 billion and $45 billion, inclusive
44%
Between $45 billion and $55 billion, inclusive
28%
More than $55 billion
8%

What will be the value, in dollars, of U.S. exports of semiconductor chips to China in 2022?

63 Forecasters • 420 Forecasts
Started Apr 20, 2021 12:20PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than $8.5 billion
6%
More than $8.5 billion but less than or equal to $10 billion
26%
Between $10 billion and $11.5 billion, inclusive
31%
Between $11.5 billion and $13 billion, inclusive
23%
More than $13 billion
14%

Will Hu Chunhua be a member of the Standing Committee of the Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?

57%

Chance
65 Forecasters • 502 Forecasts
Started Mar 18, 2021 01:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username
Cancel