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Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea in the next six months?
3%
Chance
192 Forecasters • 850 Forecasts
Started
Sep 01, 2021 11:00AM UTC
Closing
Sep 01, 2022 11:00AM UTC
How will the combined annual revenue of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft change over the next three years?
Make Forecast
102 Forecasters • 498 Forecasts
Started
Aug 24, 2021 01:35PM UTC
Closing
Aug 24, 2022 11:00AM UTC
How will annual money raised by U.S. tech startups change over the next three years?
Make Forecast
74 Forecasters • 368 Forecasts
Started
Aug 24, 2021 01:30PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
Will China execute an acknowledged national military attack against Vietnam, India, or Taiwan in the next six months?
4%
Chance
181 Forecasters • 896 Forecasts
Started
Aug 01, 2021 11:00AM UTC
Closing
Aug 17, 2022 11:00AM UTC
Will China seize control of any Taiwanese-occupied feature in the South China Sea in the next six months?
4%
Chance
133 Forecasters • 742 Forecasts
Started
Aug 01, 2021 11:00AM UTC
Closing
Aug 17, 2022 11:00AM UTC
What will be the value, in dollars, of U.S. exports of semiconductor manufacturing equipment to China in 2022?
75 Forecasters • 459 Forecasts
Started
Apr 20, 2021 12:20PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Less than $5 billion
2%
More than $5 billion but less than or equal to $6 billion
15%
Between $6 billion and $7 billion, inclusive
42%
Between $7 billion and $8 billion, inclusive
29%
More than $8 billion
11%
What will be the value, in dollars, of all Chinese imports of semiconductor chips in 2022?
61 Forecasters • 446 Forecasts
Started
Apr 20, 2021 12:20PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Less than $320 billion
1%
More than $320 billion but less than or equal to $350 billion
6%
Between $350 billion and $380 billion, inclusive
22%
Between $380 billion and $410 billion, inclusive
36%
More than $410 billion
34%
What will be the value, in dollars, of all Chinese imports of semiconductor manufacturing equipment in 2022?
57 Forecasters • 402 Forecasts
Started
Apr 20, 2021 12:20PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Less than $25 billion
1%
More than $25 billion but less than or equal to $35 billion
18%
Between $35 billion and $45 billion, inclusive
44%
Between $45 billion and $55 billion, inclusive
28%
More than $55 billion
8%
What will be the value, in dollars, of U.S. exports of semiconductor chips to China in 2022?
63 Forecasters • 420 Forecasts
Started
Apr 20, 2021 12:20PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Less than $8.5 billion
6%
More than $8.5 billion but less than or equal to $10 billion
26%
Between $10 billion and $11.5 billion, inclusive
31%
Between $11.5 billion and $13 billion, inclusive
23%
More than $13 billion
14%
Will Hu Chunhua be a member of the Standing Committee of the Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?
57%
Chance
65 Forecasters • 502 Forecasts
Started
Mar 18, 2021 01:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
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