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Question
Crowd Forecast
Will scientists be able to assemble a ribosome in vitro, composed entirely of synthetic proteins and RNA, without the use of cell-derived materials by 2030?
Closing
Jul 1, 2026 04:00AM
·
17
·
27
60%
Chance
Will any major international non-governmental research funders implement specific policies restricting or requiring oversight of mirror biology research by 31 December 2030?
Closing
Jul 1, 2026 04:00AM
·
21
·
27
40%
Chance
Will mirror reagents or products be added to the Australia Group export control list or national controlled biological agent lists in the U.S., UK, or Canada by 31 December 2032?
Closing
Jul 1, 2026 04:00AM
·
11
·
16
25%
Chance
Will mirror organisms be formally addressed as a biosecurity concern in official proceedings of at least one of the following international forums (BWC Review Conference, G7/G20 Health/Science ministerial meetings, WHO forums) by 31 December 2030?
Closing
Jul 1, 2026 04:00AM
·
10
·
17
54%
Chance
Will government agencies in the U.S., EU, or UK classify mirror biology research under dual-use oversight mechanisms by 31 December 2030?
Closing
Jul 1, 2026 04:00AM
·
10
·
16
44%
Chance
Will scientists successfully create a synthetic cell from chemically synthesized components by 1 January 2035?
Closing
Jul 1, 2026 04:00AM
·
21
·
33
7%
Chance
According to U.S. Customs and Border Protection, will the U.S. seize at least 50,000 pounds of drugs in July 2025?
Closing
Aug 1, 2025 03:59AM
·
135
·
222
64%
Chance
According to U.S. Customs and Border Protection, will there be at least 37 million inbound travelers to the U.S. in July 2025?
Closing
Aug 1, 2025 03:59AM
·
123
·
202
10%
Chance
How many global victims of data-leaking ransomware will there be in August 2025, according to Data Breaches Digest?
Closing
Sep 1, 2025 03:59AM
·
85
·
130
0
0
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
0.25
0.3
0.35
0.4
0.45
0.5
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1
Will the United States and Iran announce a new nuclear deal before 1 August 2025?
Closing
Aug 1, 2025 04:00AM
·
146
·
271
1%
Chance
1
2
3
4
5
…
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😂
:joy:
😘
:kissing_heart:
❤️
:heart:
😍
:heart_eyes:
😊
:blush:
😁
:grin:
👍
:+1:
☺️
:relaxed:
😔
:pensive:
😄
:smile:
😭
:sob:
💋
:kiss:
😒
:unamused:
😳
:flushed:
😜
:stuck_out_tongue_winking_eye:
🙈
:see_no_evil:
😉
:wink:
😃
:smiley:
😢
:cry:
😝
:stuck_out_tongue_closed_eyes:
😱
:scream:
😡
:rage:
😏
:smirk:
😞
:disappointed:
😅
:sweat_smile:
😚
:kissing_closed_eyes:
🙊
:speak_no_evil:
😌
:relieved:
😀
:grinning:
😋
:yum:
👌
:ok_hand:
😐
:neutral_face:
😕
:confused:
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