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Will there be an organized employee protest at one of the "Big 5" tech companies against the company's involvement with DoD in the next year?

50%

Chance
0 Forecasters • 0 Forecasts
Started Jun 15, 2022 11:00AM UTC
Closed Apr 01, 2022 11:00PM UTC

In the next six months, will U.S. and China announce the establishment of an ongoing bilateral dialog mechanism that includes discussions of emerging technologies?

1%

Chance
80 Forecasters • 282 Forecasts
Started Jan 31, 2022 01:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 29, 2022 03:59AM UTC

Which tech company will be the first to reach a market cap of $5 trillion?

80 Forecasters • 116 Forecasts
Started Jan 18, 2022 01:34PM UTC
Closed Feb 28, 2022 01:34PM UTC
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Apple
48%
Microsoft
22%
Alphabet (Google)
13%
Amazon
10%
Tesla
3%
Meta (Facebook)
1%
Other
2%

How politically polarized will U.S. citizens be in 2024?

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231 Forecasters • 556 Forecasts
Started Aug 26, 2021 08:20PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC

How will the percentage of U.S residents who are concerned about how the government uses their data change over the next three years?

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155 Forecasters • 480 Forecasts
Started Aug 26, 2021 07:15PM UTC
Closed Apr 01, 2022 11:00PM UTC

How will the percentage of highly cited U.S. AI publications supported by a DoD grant change over the next three years?

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51 Forecasters • 127 Forecasts
Started Aug 17, 2021 11:40AM UTC
Closed Jan 11, 2022 12:00AM UTC

How will the percentage of highly cited U.S. AI publications supported by a DoD grant change over the next three years?

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0 Forecasters • 0 Forecasts
Started Aug 17, 2021 11:00AM UTC
Closed Apr 01, 2022 11:00PM UTC

How will the number of Defense Innovation Unit transitions change over the next three years?

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63 Forecasters • 259 Forecasts
Started Aug 17, 2021 11:00AM UTC
Closed Apr 02, 2022 11:00PM UTC

[Experimental] Did COVID-19 originate in a lab in Wuhan, China?

35%

Chance
144 Forecasters • 387 Forecasts
Started Jun 14, 2021 11:00AM UTC
Closed Oct 01, 2021 05:59PM UTC
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