INFER Public

Will the New York Times, CBC, or BBC announce that they will only publish photos or videos containing digital provenance (e.g., C2PA) by 31 May 2024?

Question Ends:
Jun 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(6 days from now)

Forecast Last Updated:
May 20, 2024 03:35AM UTC
(6 days ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes	0%	4%	-4%	+0%
No	100%	96%	+4%	+0%

Will Huawei sell or announce plans to sell Open RAN equipment before 1 January 2027?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast

Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)

Forecast Last Updated:
May 21, 2024 04:52PM UTC
(4 days ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes	40%	48%	-8%	+6%
No	60%	52%	+8%	-6%

Will at least five more exoplanets be found to be potentially habitable between 1 February 2024 and 31 December 2024?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast

Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(7 months from now)

Forecast Last Updated:
May 21, 2024 05:12PM UTC
(4 days ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes	16%	80%	-64%	+0%
No	84%	20%	+64%	+0%

Will Russia initiate a major ground offensive to attack the following Ukrainian cities before 31 December 2024?

Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(7 months from now)

Forecast Last Updated:
May 23, 2024 12:15PM UTC
(3 days ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Kharkiv	32%	51%	-19%	-2%
Kyiv	0%	3%	-3%	+0%
Odesa	1%	3%	-2%	+0%

From 1 June 2023 to 31 May 2024, how many battles and incidents of violence against civilians will ACLED record in Venezuela?

Forecast Count:
7 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Jun 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(6 days from now)

Forecast Last Updated:
May 24, 2024 11:21AM UTC
(1 day ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Less than or equal to 499	99%	99%	+0%	+0%
Between 500 and 999, inclusive	1%	1%	+0%	0%
Between 1000 and 1499, inclusive	0%	0%	+0%	0%
Between 1500 and 1999, inclusive	0%	0%	+0%	0%
More than or equal to 2000	0%	0%	+0%	0%

Will Australia issue a Level 3 or Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan before 1 July 2024?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast

Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(1 month from now)

Forecast Last Updated:
May 24, 2024 11:27AM UTC
(1 day ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes	0%	0%	+0%	+0%
No	100%	100%	+0%	+0%

Before 1 January 2025, will Iran announce that it will leave the JCPOA ("Iran nuclear deal")?

Forecast Count:
8 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(7 months from now)

Forecast Last Updated:
May 25, 2024 03:17PM UTC
(10 hours ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes	4%	4%	+0%	0%
No	96%	96%	+0%	0%

Before 1 June 2024, will Facebook, WhatsApp, Messenger, or Twitter announce that they are labeling posts as potentially written by AI?

Forecast Count:
14 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Jun 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(6 days from now)

Forecast Last Updated:
May 25, 2024 03:18PM UTC
(10 hours ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes	0%	10%	-10%	+0%
No	100%	90%	+10%	+0%

Will 100 or more people be killed or injured in a Russian attack on the city of Kyiv before 1 June 2024?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast

Question Ends:
Jun 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(6 days from now)

Forecast Last Updated:
May 25, 2024 03:23PM UTC
(10 hours ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes	0%	2%	-2%	+0%
No	100%	98%	+2%	+0%

Will a collaboration between Huawei and the O-RAN Alliance be announced before 1 October 2025?

Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Oct 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)

Forecast Last Updated:
May 25, 2024 03:25PM UTC
(10 hours ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes	11%	13%	-2%	+0%
No	89%	87%	+2%	+0%

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