sanyero

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Background in consulting, med tech, software. EA.

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Forecasted Questions
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What will be the highest average price recorded for a gallon of diesel in the U.S. between 6 Feb 2023 and 10 Apr 2023?

Forecast Count:
 2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Apr 10, 2023 04:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Apr 08, 2023 05:26AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than $4.60 Answer was correct
More than or equal to $4.60 but less than $4.80 Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to $4.80 but less than $5.00 Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to $5.00 but less than $5.20 Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to $5.20 Answer was incorrect

Will the composition of Israel's current governing coalition change before 1 July 2023?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Jul 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
(11 months ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jun 26, 2023 07:24AM UTC
(11 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

How many “venture capital members” will be part of BioMADE at the end of June 2023?

Forecast Count:
 9 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jul 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
(11 months ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jun 29, 2023 08:15PM UTC
(11 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
0 Answer was incorrect
1 Answer was incorrect
2 Answer was correct
More than or equal to 3 Answer was incorrect

From 1 August 2022 to 31 July 2023, will ACLED record 1000 or more fatalities from conflicts or political violence in Kenya?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Aug 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
(10 months ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jul 03, 2023 10:11AM UTC
(11 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will Sweden become a full member of NATO before the NATO Summit in July 2023?

Forecast Count:
 4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jul 11, 2023 04:00AM UTC
(10 months ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jul 10, 2023 05:24PM UTC
(10 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will Russia successfully launch a moon mission on or before 1 Sep 2023?

Forecast Count:
 4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Aug 31, 2023 04:00AM UTC
(9 months ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Aug 20, 2023 06:33PM UTC
(9 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

How many people will have signed up for World ID on 1 September 2023?

Forecast Count:
 3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Sep 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
(9 months ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Aug 24, 2023 09:46AM UTC
(9 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 4 million Answer was correct
More than or equal to 4 million but less than 6 million Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to 6 million Answer was incorrect

Will a top U.S. chemical or oil and gas company join the BOTTLE consortium as an industry partner by 31 August 2023?

Forecast Count:
 3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Sep 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
(9 months ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Aug 25, 2023 01:01PM UTC
(9 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will an AI-generated film or episode be released by Netflix, Hulu, Disney+, Max, Apple TV+, or Amazon Prime before 1 September 2023?

Forecast Count:
 4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Sep 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
(9 months ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Aug 25, 2023 01:02PM UTC
(9 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect
No Answer was correct

Will a new song with AI-generated vocals be streamed over 10 million times on Spotify before 1 June 2024?

Forecast Count:
 4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jun 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(11 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Oct 04, 2023 02:56PM UTC
(8 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was correct
No Answer was incorrect
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