sanyero

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Background in consulting, med tech, software. EA.

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Forecasted Questions
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By 31 December 2022, will Impossible Foods announce a date for their IPO?

Forecast Count:
 4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Dec 26, 2022 02:20PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

On 28 February 2023, how many states will be following the California emissions standard banning the sale of new emissions-producing vehicles by 2035?

Forecast Count:
 4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Mar 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Dec 26, 2022 02:23PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 5 Answer was incorrect
Between 5 and 11, inclusive Answer was correct
Between 12 and 17, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to 18 Answer was incorrect

Will the European Union’s economic sanctions on Russia expire or be revoked for whole sectors or industries by 31 January 2023?

Forecast Count:
 2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Feb 01, 2023 05:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Dec 26, 2022 02:30PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will China announce an end to its zero Covid policy by 31 December 2022?

Forecast Count:
 3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Dec 30, 2022 03:50PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month?

As of Feb 3, 2023 02:55PM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Mar 01, 2023 05:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jan 03, 2023 02:55PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will China launch more orbital rockets than the U.S. in January 2023?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Feb 01, 2023 05:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jan 12, 2023 04:27PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 March 2023?

Forecast Count:
 4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Mar 01, 2023 05:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Feb 27, 2023 12:28PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will North Korea conduct a nuclear test on or before 31 March 2023?

Forecast Count:
 3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Apr 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Feb 27, 2023 12:32PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

How many autonomous vehicle collisions will the California DMV record for January, February, and March 2023 combined?

Forecast Count:
 4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Apr 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Mar 27, 2023 11:51AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 20 Answer was incorrect
Between 20 and 29, inclusive Answer was incorrect
Between 30 and 39, inclusive Answer was correct
Between 40 and 49, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to 50 Answer was incorrect

Will Microsoft's AI-powered “new Bing” be available to the public by 30 April 2023?

Forecast Count:
 2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 May 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Mar 27, 2023 11:55AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was correct
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