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Question
Crowd Forecast
Will Ant Financial have an IPO in China or Hong Kong by April 30, 2021?
Closed
May 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
·
0
·
0
50%
Chance
Will there be an organized employee protest at one of the "Big 5" tech companies against the company's involvement with DoD in the next year?
Closed
Apr 01, 2022 11:00PM UTC
·
0
·
0
50%
Chance
How will the percentage of U.S. residents who don't trust the U.S. military change over the next three years?
Closed
Apr 01, 2022 11:00PM UTC
·
13
·
13
How will the percentage of highly cited U.S. AI publications supported by a DoD grant change over the next three years?
Closed
Apr 01, 2022 11:00PM UTC
·
0
·
0
How will the Geopolitical Risk (GPR) Index change over the next three years?
Closed
Aug 24, 2022 11:00AM UTC
·
68
·
120
Will the U.S. military acknowledge using an autonomously operated drone to identify and deploy lethal force against a human target in the next four quarters (year)?
Closed
Aug 24, 2022 11:00AM UTC
·
0
·
0
50%
Chance
How will the ratio of U.S.-authored to China-authored highly cited AI papers change over the next three years?
Closed
Aug 24, 2022 11:00AM UTC
·
0
·
0
Which country will have published the second most top tiered journal articles on artificial intelligence in 2022?
Closed
Dec 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
·
59
·
183
Which country or union will publish the second most AI related patents in 2022?
Closed
Dec 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
·
38
·
93
In 2022, will a Chinese institution have the most AI research publications ranked in the top 10%?
Closed
Dec 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
·
38
·
99
88%
Chance
1
2
3
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