INFER Public

Crowd Forecast

Will Australia issue a Level 3 or Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan before 1 July 2024?

Closing Jul 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC · 64 · 179

3%

Chance

Will the price of the rare earth compound dysprosium oxide equal or exceed $1000 per kg before 1 July 2024?

Closing Jul 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC · 58 · 185

6%

Chance

Will any TSMC fab in Taiwan be shut down for at least one day because of a non-scheduled emergency by 31 March 2024?

Closing Mar 31, 2024 04:00PM UTC · 67 · 259

3%

Chance

Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months?

Closing Apr 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC · 126 · 545

0%

Chance

For each of the 5 quarters listed, what is the probability that North America’s share of TSMC’s net revenue will be less than 40%?

Closing Jul 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC · 34 · 140